PnL all-time+$43vol $12.8k
PnL 30d−$56gains $178 · losses $39
PnL 7d−$4.08win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate47.1%adj 48.6% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$791cash n/a
Positions9 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.2%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 12d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$51below peak −$54Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale23
Adjusted win rateraw 47.1% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d58
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? · Yesclosed+$118Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$60Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesclosed+$41Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? · Yesclosed+$11Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$10
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? | No | 449 | 84.6¢ | 75.5¢ | $339 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 164 | 90.4¢ | 95.5¢ | $156 | +$8.41 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 131 | 86.5¢ | 94.3¢ | $123 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will The Odyssey rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | Yes | 112 | 90¢ | 94.5¢ | $106 | +$5.04 | $0 | |
| Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 70 | 92.6¢ | 95.7¢ | $67 | +$2.19 | $0 | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 30 | 71¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.19 | |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 19 | 28.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.32 | −$25 | |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | Germany | 17 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 15 | 54.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.16 | +$9.90 |
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