sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

zk1984

0x004…6034
SharpWR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCryptoOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,304vol $279k
PnL 30d+$690gains $823 · losses $211
PnL 7d+$448win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate74.0%adj 73.1% · 30d 88.2%
Open value$48.6kcash n/a
Positions56 / 654open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.5%of equity peak
Account age3.2ylast trade 8d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9,465below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 74.0% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d72
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 56

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No8,53281.6¢95.5¢$8,148+$1,185$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No6,11086.4¢97.4¢$5,948+$671$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No3,10082.1¢94.5¢$2,929+$386$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,96692.9¢92.5¢$2,743−$11$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,56790¢97.3¢$2,496+$186$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,22389.8¢98.5¢$2,189+$192$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,00095¢96.2¢$1,923+$23$0
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,70083.5¢97.8¢$1,662+$243$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,50078.9¢95.8¢$1,436+$253+$0.50
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes1,20286.3¢99.3¢$1,193+$155$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00095¢99.2¢$992+$42$0
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No1,00092¢99.1¢$991+$71$0
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?No1,00086¢99.1¢$991+$131$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No1,00091.1¢98.5¢$985+$73$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No1,00088¢98.2¢$982+$102$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No1,00095.1¢97.2¢$972+$21$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No1,00094¢96.1¢$960+$20$0
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?No99194.6¢96.2¢$953+$15$0
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?No94787.9¢97.3¢$921+$89$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No90090.6¢95.5¢$860+$45$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Yes1,00085¢81.5¢$815−$35$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No65086.3¢96.2¢$625+$64$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?No57496.6¢98.6¢$566+$12$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No60056.8¢91.5¢$549+$208−$49
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No50094¢96¢$480+$10$0
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No41690¢93¢$387+$12$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes80088¢45.5¢$364−$340$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No36388.9¢97.1¢$352+$30$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No40086.4¢88¢$352+$6.50$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No45290.6¢71.5¢$323−$86$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No54832.2¢58.5¢$320+$144$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No32195.2¢99¢$317+$12$0
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?No34092.7¢88.6¢$301−$14$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?No30067¢98.4¢$295+$94$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No50080¢48.5¢$243−$158$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes50094¢42.2¢$211−$259$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo50057¢38.5¢$193−$93$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes20089¢88.5¢$177−$1.00$0
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes80046.9¢20.5¢$164−$211$0
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No20061¢78.5¢$157+$35$0
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes43553.4¢34¢$148−$84$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes20068¢70.3¢$140+$4.50$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No50039¢25.5¢$128−$68$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?No16945¢65¢$110+$34$0
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No11691¢86.5¢$100−$5.20$0
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes26027¢38.5¢$100+$30$0
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No10090¢93¢$93+$3.00$0
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?No10062¢73¢$73+$11$0
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?No5050¢98.8¢$49+$24$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes20023¢19.5¢$39−$7.00$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes31629¢11¢$35−$57$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes30045¢6.5¢$20−$116$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes30039¢6.3¢$19−$98$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes5001.1¢3¢$15+$9.50$0
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes20022¢6.5¢$13−$31$0
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No1094.7¢91.1¢$9.52−$0.38$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?1.1¢440$4.8474%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?95¢2,000$1,90074%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?95¢191$18274%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?94¢300$28274%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?95¢500$47574%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?90¢400$36074%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?91¢600$54674%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?94¢500$47074%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?91¢500$45574%70Sharp
BUY YesWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?94.1¢200$18874%70Sharp
BUY NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?92.5¢24$2274%70Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?23¢200$4674%70Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?1¢200$2.0074%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?90¢50$4574%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?90¢100$9074%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?87¢150$13174%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?6¢12$0.7274%70Sharp
BUY YesWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?97¢200$19474%70Sharp
BUY NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?14¢60$8.4074%70Sharp
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?95¢200$19074%70Sharp