PnL all-time+$40vol $7,274
PnL 30d−$0.28gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.13win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 74.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,217cash n/a
Positions11 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.6%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$36below peak −$1.67Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale23
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March? | No | 1,207 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $1,207 | +$7.24 | $0 | |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $2.01 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $2.00 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15) | Yes | 1 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $1.12 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in March? | No | 1 | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $1.02 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 96¢ | 97.1¢ | $1.01 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 1 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $1.00 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $1.00 | $0 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | 39¢ | 5.3¢ | $0.27 | −$1.73 | $0 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | 38¢ | 4.7¢ | $0.25 | −$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 73¢ | 6.5¢ | $0.09 | −$0.91 | $0 |
Recent trades
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