PnL all-time+$227kvol $1.93M
PnL 30d−$3,093gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$214win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.6%adj 58.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$15.8kcash n/a
Positions5 / 38open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.5%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$229kbelow peak −$67.3kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable53
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity75
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden? · Yesclosed+$223k2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104 · Yesclosed+$34.5kWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? · Republicanclosed+$12.7kWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$11.0kGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%? · Yesclosed+$10.0k
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 71.4k | 12¢ | 15.2¢ | $10.8k | +$2,250 | +$1,476 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 183k | 3.3¢ | 2.8¢ | $5,029 | −$1,016 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 239k | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17.3k | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 89.0k | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,182 | $0 | |
| Democratic sweep? | No | 17.8k | 19.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,500 | $0 |
Recent trades
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