PnL all-time+$24vol $1,752
PnL 30d−$11gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1.61win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 62.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$430cash n/a
Positions8 / 23open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.2%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$57below peak −$15Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale20
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Noclosed+$27Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? · Noclosed+$14Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? · Noopen+$9.92Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Noopen+$9.79Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? · Noopen+$8.69
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | No | 126 | 79.3¢ | 87.1¢ | $110 | +$9.79 | $0 | |
| Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 112 | 89.8¢ | 96.7¢ | $109 | +$7.70 | $0 | |
| Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 92 | 87¢ | 96.5¢ | $89 | +$8.69 | $0 | |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 82 | 85¢ | 97.1¢ | $80 | +$9.92 | $0 | |
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 21 | 94¢ | 96.9¢ | $21 | +$0.61 | $0 | |
| Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 17 | 92¢ | 97.9¢ | $17 | +$1.01 | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 6 | 71¢ | 92.5¢ | $5.21 | +$1.21 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 11 | 17¢ | 3.9¢ | $0.43 | −$1.47 | $0 |
Recent trades
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