PnL all-time−$901vol $215k
PnL 30d+$53gains $51 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$13win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate99.8%adj 97.9% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions12 / 1,055open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 18h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$888below peak −$1,005Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 99.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Noclosed+$8.35Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? · Yesclosed+$7.80Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17? · Yesclosed+$7.17Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? · Noclosed+$5.22Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Noclosed+$5.00
Worst markets
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yesopen−$60Will Barcelona vs. Alaves end in a draw? · Yesopen−$50ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Auger-Aliassimeopen−$40Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? · Yesopen−$19No airdrop in 2025? · Yesopen−$15
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Yes | 514 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Barcelona vs. Alaves end in a draw? | Yes | 385 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 222 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | Auger-Aliassime | 211 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Yes | 159 | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-28? | Yes | 50 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 1 | 80¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Clermont Foot 63 win on 2026-02-27? | No | 1 | 93¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs WW Team (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group C | WW Team | 1 | 94.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will "Palantir" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 1 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May? | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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