Traders/Rank #321

11122

0x011…1122

WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$616kvol $205M

PnL 30d+$27.1kgains $105k · losses $96.4k

PnL 7d+$11.0kwin rate 7d 58.6%

Win rate40.9%adj 41.2% · 30d 68.4%

Open value$455kcash n/a

Positions242 / 4,091open / all-time

Max drawdown−33.1%of equity peak

Account age1.9ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$779kbelow peak −$53.9kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale83

Adjusted win rateraw 40.9% · shrunk toward 50%3

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? · Yesclosed+$42.9k Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen+$38.1k Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Noclosed+$34.0k Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? · Noclosed+$33.3k Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$28.7k

Worst markets

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Noclosed−$31.0k Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yesclosed−$28.8k Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Noclosed−$22.7k Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Noclosed−$22.6k 2026 Balance of Power: Other · Yesopen−$15.3k

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	169k	55.2¢	80.2¢	$136k	+$42.3k	−$46.8k	25mo
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	166k	23.6¢	28.5¢	$47.4k	+$8,133	+$428	25d 13h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	81.5k	46¢	37.5¢	$30.6k	−$6,897	+$1,083	25d 13h
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	26.6k	86.5¢	86.9¢	$23.1k	+$103	−$5,598	25mo
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	45.6k	32.6¢	42.5¢	$19.4k	+$4,502	+$4,108	25d 13h
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	35.3k	43.1¢	34.5¢	$12.2k	−$3,022	+$260	25mo
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	396k	2¢	2.8¢	$10.9k	+$3,008	+$129	25mo
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	104k	3¢	10.2¢	$10.6k	+$7,454	+$3,295	25mo
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	111k	16.5¢	9.5¢	$10.5k	−$7,791	+$8,857	25d 13h
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	349k	1.2¢	2.4¢	$8,388	+$4,203	+$1,209	25mo
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	22.0k	34¢	35.5¢	$7,810	+$321	+$2,634	25mo
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	104k	5¢	7.1¢	$7,396	+$2,199	+$3,530	25mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	264k	1.7¢	2.6¢	$6,738	+$2,255	+$2,406	25mo
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	339k	1.8¢	1.7¢	$5,592	−$529	+$395	25mo
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	12.6k	29.3¢	42.5¢	$5,358	+$1,660	+$2,093	25d 13h
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	28.5k	7.2¢	18¢	$5,119	+$3,078	+$14.5k	25mo
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	32.9k	19.4¢	15.1¢	$4,945	−$1,417	+$2,487	25mo
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	212k	0.8¢	2.3¢	$4,759	+$3,030	+$31	25mo
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	156k	1.4¢	3.1¢	$4,748	+$2,609	+$576	25mo
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	269k	1.5¢	1.8¢	$4,705	+$679	+$8,298	25mo
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	157k	2.4¢	2.8¢	$4,319	+$561	+$26	25mo
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	55.8k	4.2¢	7.4¢	$4,105	+$1,743	+$9,009	25mo
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	26.2k	10.5¢	15.1¢	$3,941	+$1,181	+$11.3k	25mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	45.8k	3.5¢	8.1¢	$3,689	+$2,106	+$36.0k	25mo
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	223k	1¢	1.7¢	$3,683	+$1,418	+$5,046	25mo
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	71.8k	3.3¢	5.1¢	$3,626	+$1,272	+$2,288	25mo
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	135k	2¢	2.7¢	$3,584	+$888	+$1,158	25mo
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	9,532	42.8¢	35.5¢	$3,384	−$698	−$1,786	25d 13h
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	8,754	40.8¢	37.5¢	$3,283	−$291	+$25.1k	25d 13h
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	3,276	93.9¢	94.2¢	$3,084	+$8.19	−$4,636	25mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	221k	1¢	1.4¢	$2,988	+$832	+$47	25mo
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	58.2k	2.4¢	4.6¢	$2,678	+$1,282	+$3,744	25mo
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	81.7k	0.3¢	3.2¢	$2,574	+$2,309	+$11.1k	25mo
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	6,820	51.6¢	37.5¢	$2,558	−$959	−$120	25d 13h
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	370k	0.4¢	0.5¢	$2,037	+$487	$0	25mo
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	313k	0.5¢	0.5¢	$1,719	+$275	$0	25mo
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	6,663	43.4¢	25.5¢	$1,699	−$1,193	−$708	3mo
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	191k	7.8¢	0.9¢	$1,625	−$13.2k	−$1,665	25d 13h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	2,700	47.8¢	56.5¢	$1,525	+$234	+$18	18d 13h
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	116k	1.1¢	1.3¢	$1,449	+$147	+$2,411	25mo
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	3,769	42¢	37.5¢	$1,413	−$171	−$78	25d 13h
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	5,101	28.9¢	26.5¢	$1,352	−$120	$0	25d 13h
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	2,182	35.4¢	57.9¢	$1,262	+$491	+$12.9k	ended
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	101k	0.5¢	1.3¢	$1,260	+$748	+$3,115	25mo
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	63.6k	2.1¢	2¢	$1,241	−$83	+$12	25mo
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	2,200	58.2¢	55.5¢	$1,221	−$59	+$22	25d 13h
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	4,554	23.3¢	26.5¢	$1,207	+$146	+$266	25d 13h
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	2,656	52.3¢	42.5¢	$1,129	−$260	−$2,343	ended
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	48.4k	1.1¢	2.1¢	$991	+$467	+$134	25mo
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	108k	0.7¢	0.9¢	$969	+$205	+$120	25mo
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	133k	0.5¢	0.7¢	$864	+$196	+$1,950	25mo
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	32.0k	2.7¢	2.5¢	$783	−$69	+$3,651	9mo
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	517k	0.1¢	0.2¢	$776	+$195	+$756	25mo
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	72.7k	0.4¢	1.1¢	$763	+$483	+$2,789	25mo
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	72.2k	0.7¢	1¢	$686	+$185	+$7.41	25mo
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	101k	0.7¢	0.7¢	$657	−$15	$0	25mo
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	24.5k	0.3¢	2.5¢	$611	+$533	+$206	3mo
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	Yes	99.6k	4.5¢	0.5¢	$548	−$3,899	+$4.17	13d 13h
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	149k	0.5¢	0.4¢	$523	−$208	+$208	25mo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	499	71.4¢	94.5¢	$472	+$115	+$977	3mo
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	No	805	69¢	57.5¢	$463	−$93	−$64	21d 13h
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	474	91.9¢	96.4¢	$457	+$21	$0	25d 13h
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	101k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$455	−$211	+$898	25mo
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	48.5k	1¢	0.9¢	$436	−$30	−$143	25mo
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	168k	9¢	0.3¢	$420	−$14.8k	−$493	25d 13h
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	400	90¢	94¢	$376	+$16	$0	25d 13h
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	38.4k	1.6¢	1¢	$365	−$254	+$4,699	9mo
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	30.7k	1¢	1.1¢	$323	+$29	+$0.15	9mo
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	41.3k	0.8¢	0.8¢	$310	−$40	+$2,586	25mo
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	483	54¢	62.5¢	$302	+$41	−$0.69	25d 13h
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	534	58.7¢	55.5¢	$297	−$17	$0	25d 13h
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?	No	298	75.3¢	97.4¢	$290	+$66	−$13	3mo
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	300	90¢	96.6¢	$290	+$20	$0	3mo
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	193k	0.3¢	0.2¢	$289	−$219	+$63	25mo
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	3,000	12¢	9.5¢	$285	−$75	$0	25d 13h
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	51.4k	0.8¢	0.5¢	$283	−$112	+$0.20	9mo
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	187k	0.2¢	0.2¢	$281	−$135	+$550	25mo
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	110k	0.6¢	0.3¢	$275	−$404	+$1,303	25mo
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	52.2k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$261	−$101	−$0.07	25mo
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	500	41¢	50.5¢	$253	+$48	$0	4mo
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	1,086	74.6¢	22.5¢	$244	−$566	−$5.39	25d 13h
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	19.1k	1.2¢	1.2¢	$230	−$0.54	−$9.00	3mo
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	57.9k	0.6¢	0.4¢	$203	−$163	+$8,640	25mo
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	8,663	1¢	2.3¢	$199	+$112	+$7,097	25mo
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	683	18¢	28.7¢	$196	+$73	+$1,347	3mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	120k	0.3¢	0.2¢	$179	−$236	$0	25mo
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	18.6k	1.2¢	1¢	$177	−$48	+$499	9mo
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	48.9k	0.4¢	0.4¢	$171	−$30	+$855	25mo
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	47.8k	0.3¢	0.4¢	$167	+$25	+$46	25mo
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	9,535	0.8¢	1.8¢	$167	+$92	+$12.2k	25mo
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	11.5k	0.5¢	1.4¢	$155	+$94	+$237	25mo
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	12.0k	0.5¢	1.3¢	$150	+$94	+$528	25mo
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	41.5k	0.3¢	0.3¢	$124	+$13	+$3.97	3mo
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	Yes	841	13¢	14¢	$118	+$8.42	$0	3mo
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	10,000	1.3¢	1.2¢	$115	−$15	$0	6mo
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	3,500	4¢	3.3¢	$114	−$27	−$107	9mo
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	73.7k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$111	−$423	+$2,019	25mo
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	205k	0.1¢	0.1¢	$102	−$102	$0	25mo
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	40.9k	0.5¢	0.3¢	$102	−$89	−$25	3mo
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	872	45.8¢	11.5¢	$100	−$299	−$41	3mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
3d ago	BUY Yes	Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?	2.2¢	200	$4.40	41%	57
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will John Fetterman be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	1.2¢	50	$0.60	41%	57
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will Barack Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	1.7¢	7	$0.12	41%	57
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will Bernie Sanders be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	2.1¢	74	$1.56	41%	57
6d ago	SELL Yes	Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	4¢	7	$0.28	41%	57
6d ago	SELL Yes	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	8¢	6,623	$530	41%	57
6d ago	SELL No	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	42¢	111	$47	41%	57
7d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	0.1¢	4,412	$4.41	41%	57
7d ago	SELL Yes	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	0.2¢	5,000	$10	41%	57
8d ago	BUY Yes	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	0.8¢	92	$0.73	41%	57
8d ago	SELL Yes	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	50.5¢	3,673	$1,855	41%	57
9d ago	BUY New York Yankees	Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees	55¢	200	$110	41%	57
10d ago	BUY Yes	Jalen Hurts: Anytime Touchdown	50¢	10	$5.00	41%	57
10d ago	SELL Yes	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	50.9¢	501	$255	41%	57
11d ago	BUY No	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	37¢	2,952	$1,092	41%	57
13d ago	SELL No	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	99.9¢	0	$0.15	41%	57
13d ago	SELL Yes	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	0.1¢	97.1k	$97	41%	57
13d ago	SELL Yes	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	11.5¢	8,000	$921	41%	57
13d ago	BUY No	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	32¢	11.5k	$3,675	41%	57
13d ago	BUY Yes	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	0.4¢	150k	$600	41%	57