sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,365

Fulgurator

0x013…274c
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$18.4kvol $300k
PnL 30d+$16.4kgains $8,752 · losses $1,575
PnL 7d+$3,597win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate88.9%adj 81.2% · 30d 76.2%
Open value$81.8kcash n/a
Positions44 / 125open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.4%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$34.2kbelow peak −$984Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 88.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yesclosed+$6,470Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yesopen+$5,903Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Noopen+$5,479Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,018Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · Noopen+$2,511

Worst markets

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Noclosed−$711Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? · Noopen−$651Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Noopen−$586Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · Yesopen−$585Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$552

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No14.0k90.8¢95.6¢$13.4k+$672$0
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No13.0k90.8¢95.5¢$12.4k+$605$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes13.2k37.4¢81.5¢$10.8k+$5,821+$82
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No10.0k90.9¢95.5¢$9,550+$456$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?No10.5k35.4¢81.5¢$8,588+$4,853+$625
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?No7,09354.7¢82.3¢$5,837+$1,961+$550
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes8,50042¢44.5¢$3,783+$213$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-19 House seat?No2,58094¢99.8¢$2,574+$148$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes2,50081.8¢77.5¢$1,938−$108$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes1,50077.5¢77.5¢$1,163−$0.32$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat?Yes1,16094¢98.8¢$1,146+$55$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes1,14991.7¢96.5¢$1,108+$54$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes1,28520¢78.5¢$1,009+$752$0
Will seltzers with 5mg THC be legal on November 13, 2026?Yes1,02384.5¢96¢$982+$118$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes99994¢94.4¢$943+$4.00$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes99993¢92.5¢$924−$5.00$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes1,09834.4¢80.5¢$884+$506+$111
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.1k7.4¢7.5¢$750+$8.20$0
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before the midterms?Yes53890.4¢97.7¢$525+$39$0
WHOOP IPO before 2027?No50388.2¢98.9¢$497+$54$0
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Yes46577.7¢84¢$390+$29$0
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?No40289¢95.7¢$385+$27$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No1,59218¢18.5¢$295+$7.96$0
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No29592.6¢98.3¢$290+$17−$157
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No1,48158.1¢18.5¢$274−$586$0
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31?No26889¢97.8¢$262+$24$0
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by October 31?No26793.9¢94¢$250+$0.07$0
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?No27235¢83.5¢$227+$132$0
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?No1,05975¢13.5¢$143−$651$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No22345¢57.5¢$129+$28$0
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No12391¢90.5¢$111−$0.61$0
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?No11489¢94¢$107+$5.69$0
Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by December 31?No13449.7¢57¢$76+$9.69$0
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?Yes34317.2¢13¢$45−$14$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No23516¢17.5¢$41+$3.52$0
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Yes17729.9¢10¢$18−$35−$2.76
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes12356.7¢9.5¢$12−$58−$527
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes22115.8¢4.6¢$10−$25−$5.93
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No574.7¢96.7¢$4.72+$1.07+$207
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes56.6¢3.4¢$0.17−$0.16$0
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes1,00045.4¢0¢$0−$454$0
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?No1154.8¢0¢$0−$5.50−$0.21
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Yes9067.8¢0¢$0−$61−$84
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No956¢0¢$0−$4.91$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?93¢12$1189%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?77.7¢465$36189%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?18¢1,328$23989%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?82¢49$4089%76Sharp
BUY NoAnthropic IPO before 2027?16¢175$2889%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Michael Kratsios be Trump's AI czar?91¢150$13789%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?77.5¢1,500$1,16389%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?90.8¢14.0k$12.7k89%76WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?90.8¢13.0k$11.8k89%76WhaleSharp
BUY NoWill Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?90.9¢10.0k$9,09489%76Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?42¢8,500$3,57089%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Donald Trump visit Alaska before the midterms?90.4¢538$48689%76Sharp
SELL YesWeed rescheduled by December 31?13.7¢75$1089%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by September 30?97.4¢90$8889%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?9¢627$5689%76Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump and Putin not meet?75.3¢727$54889%76Sharp
BUY YesWeed rescheduled by December 31?12.2¢176$2189%76Sharp
SELL NoWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?75.1¢70$5389%76Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?92.8¢222$20689%76Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?91.5¢927$84889%76Sharp