sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,265

Hyperlong

0x014…820c@monolith_fund
WhalePoliticsSportCryptoCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$81.2kvol $10.2M
PnL 30d−$15.6kgains $37.2k · losses $97.4k
PnL 7d+$9,319win rate 7d 59.4%
Win rate50.3%adj 50.3% · 30d 53.4%
Open value$575kcash n/a
Positions457 / 1,231open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 6h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$57.1kbelow peak −$68.1kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.3% · shrunk toward 50%26
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No155k50¢86.9¢$135k+$57.1k$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No43.9k89.6¢97.8¢$43.0k+$3,602−$2,914
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?No31.3k75.1¢66.5¢$20.8k−$2,690$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes155k50¢13.2¢$20.4k−$57.1k$0
Will Dante Moore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No18.0k96.5¢97.1¢$17.4k+$99$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes29.0k29.8¢52.3¢$15.2k+$6,530+$161
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?No13.5k76¢97.9¢$13.2k+$2,945$0
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No11.6k79.1¢95¢$11.0k+$1,842$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No11.2k91.8¢97¢$10.9k+$587+$351
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No11.3k87.8¢70.7¢$7,957−$1,933−$428
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No7,71995.5¢99.6¢$7,684+$313$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes8,18092¢91.5¢$7,485−$41−$770
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?No7,58595.8¢97.6¢$7,400+$131$0
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?No7,06071.4¢97.2¢$6,863+$1,819−$122
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No8,04069.4¢68.5¢$5,508−$74−$469
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?No5,51597¢98.4¢$5,424+$74$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?No5,16094.3¢99¢$5,109+$242$0
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?No6,40177.3¢79.5¢$5,089+$141$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No5,13191.1¢97.7¢$5,010+$334$0
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?No5,06785.4¢96.1¢$4,867+$541−$67
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No5,38985.1¢84.5¢$4,554−$31−$491
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No4,34798¢96.4¢$4,189−$72$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes5,01590¢73.5¢$3,686−$827$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No6,39061.5¢56.5¢$3,610−$319−$189
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No3,91889¢90¢$3,526+$39$0
Will Philadelphia Flyers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?No3,03794¢97.5¢$2,960+$105$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo2,97998.4¢99.2¢$2,954+$22−$190
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No4,88038.3¢58.5¢$2,855+$985+$171
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes3,58480.5¢77¢$2,760−$127−$237
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?No3,02789.1¢90.4¢$2,735+$37$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No3,14982¢85.5¢$2,692+$110$0
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?No3,27891.1¢79.3¢$2,600−$385−$146
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?No3,91367.4¢65.5¢$2,563−$75$0
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No2,63583¢82.5¢$2,174−$14$0
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No2,42684¢89¢$2,159+$122−$2,046
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No2,17969¢96.5¢$2,101+$598$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?No2,50082.6¢81¢$2,025−$41−$134
Trump out as President before 2027?No2,11786.2¢95.5¢$2,022+$197−$545
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,02490¢95.5¢$1,933+$111$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No20.0k12¢9.5¢$1,900−$500+$344
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No1,98490.7¢94¢$1,864+$64−$82
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?No1,86695.8¢99.3¢$1,852+$65$0
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?No1,88894.4¢97.7¢$1,845+$63$0
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1,92993¢95.5¢$1,842+$47+$3.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,84373.5¢98.7¢$1,818+$464$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?No1,91286.3¢94.5¢$1,807+$157$0
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,85391.5¢97.4¢$1,804+$108$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?Yes2,00786.4¢89.5¢$1,796+$62$0
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,72695.9¢100¢$1,725+$71$0
Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No1,94786.4¢88¢$1,714+$30−$262
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No1,72194.9¢98¢$1,686+$53−$714
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No2,21962.6¢75.5¢$1,675+$286$0
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?No1,75091.5¢94.6¢$1,656+$54$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No12.2k7.4¢13.5¢$1,646+$748$0
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,86386.3¢87.7¢$1,634+$27−$6.52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No2,09271.8¢74¢$1,548+$46−$156
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No1,70791¢88.8¢$1,515−$38+$7.05
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No1,54988.7¢97.6¢$1,512+$138−$495
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No4,81324.5¢31¢$1,492+$313−$370
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No1,49892¢96.8¢$1,449+$71−$916
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes14.9k11¢9.5¢$1,415−$223$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?Yes1,49089.7¢94.1¢$1,401+$64$0
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?No1,54675¢88.5¢$1,368+$209$0
Will Pachuca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No1,38995.5¢98.2¢$1,363+$37$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes16.0k11.7¢8.5¢$1,357−$517+$304
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No5,01527¢26.5¢$1,329−$25$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes1,50580.9¢86.5¢$1,302+$84$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No2,24945.1¢57.5¢$1,293+$279$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No4,84716.7¢26.3¢$1,272+$461+$547
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?Yes1,25090¢96.3¢$1,203+$78$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat?No1,25087.2¢95.7¢$1,196+$106$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No1,22281.2¢96¢$1,173+$180$0
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No3,97270.8¢29.5¢$1,172−$1,640$0
Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsYes1,16742.2¢99.1¢$1,156+$663+$156
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,21181¢93¢$1,127+$145$0
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,58281.4¢71.2¢$1,126−$161$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?Yes1,18090¢94.7¢$1,117+$55$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,96353¢37.5¢$1,111−$459$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No7,86771.2¢13.5¢$1,062−$4,541−$290
Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,33372.6¢79.5¢$1,060+$93$0
Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A?No1,05397.1¢99.9¢$1,051+$29$0
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?Yes1,07683.9¢95¢$1,022+$119$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes4,00020¢25.5¢$1,020+$219$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes4,40015.2¢22.5¢$990+$321$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No5,24019¢18.5¢$969−$26$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes14.8k10.9¢6.5¢$956−$658$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?Yes1,00087.3¢95¢$950+$77$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No1,79946¢52.5¢$945+$117$0
Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Yes2,08546¢45¢$938−$21$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?No1,00087.6¢93.5¢$935+$59$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-38 House seat?No1,00089¢93.1¢$931+$41$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No4,74828¢19.5¢$926−$404$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No20.6k26.2¢4.5¢$916−$4,481−$2,717
Will Pumas UNAM win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No93191.4¢96.2¢$895+$45$0
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP?No91096¢98.1¢$892+$19$0
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?No97570.4¢91¢$888+$201$0
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?No90585.6¢98.1¢$887+$113−$861
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No87470.7¢98.9¢$864+$246−$372
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?No1,02049.4¢84¢$856+$353−$0.33
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes1,00583.7¢85¢$854+$13$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026?88.8¢227$20250%31
BUY NoWill Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026?80.4¢156$12550%31
BUY NoWill Maine be the closest Senate race in 2026?80.3¢380$30550%31
BUY YesWill Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?44¢114$5050%31
BUY NoWill Canada win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?84¢769$64650%31
BUY NoWill Ohio be the closest Governor's race in 2026?83.6¢319$26750%31
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?27¢5,015$1,35450%31
BUY YesWill Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?24.1¢356$8650%31
BUY YesWill Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?10.5¢417$4450%31
BUY YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?1.6¢767$1250%31
BUY NoWill Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?88¢484$42650%31
BUY YesWill Drake headline Coachella 2027?51.3¢330$16950%31
BUY YesOpensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?2.8¢1,266$3650%31
BUY YesTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?14¢3,149$44150%31
BUY NoWill Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026?87.4¢321$28150%31
BUY NoWill Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?72.2¢258$18650%31
BUY NoWill Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?78.7¢465$36650%31
BUY YesWill SZA headline Coachella 2027?37¢153$5750%31
BUY YesWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?19¢1,339$25450%31
BUY NoWill Sam Rockwell win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?87.2¢239$20850%31