PnL all-time−$7,759vol $42.9k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.7%adj 68.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$407cash n/a
Positions5 / 26open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$7,759below peak −$8,335Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 85.7% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable47
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? · Noclosed+$574Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech? · Noclosed+$540Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech? · Noclosed+$294Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech? · Noclosed+$191Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech? · Noclosed+$164
Worst markets
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? · Noclosed−$5,237Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech? · Noclosed−$3,406MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legend · Legendopen−$673Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference? · Noclosed−$643Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesopen−$47
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | No | 300 | 80¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Obama divorce in 2025? | No | 107 | 77¢ | 100¢ | $107 | +$25 | $0 |
Recent trades
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