sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

0xPoni-Elon

0x01a…4967@Poni_PM
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,575vol $855k
PnL 30d+$1,627gains $5,940 · losses $4,178
PnL 7d+$1,041win rate 7d 51.6%
Win rate56.7%adj 56.4% · 30d 54.6%
Open value$1,317cash n/a
Positions43 / 538open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 17h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,342below peak −$310Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 56.7% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?No1,34271.1¢82.5¢$1,107+$153$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No26586.2¢77.1¢$204−$24$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes2619¢22.5¢$5.92+$0.92+$3.42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes2,3390.1¢0¢$0−$2.34−$0.12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes2,3390.2¢0¢$0−$4.68−$0.23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes1,40225.7¢0¢$0−$360−$37
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Yes1,31845.8¢0¢$0−$604−$25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Yes1,2772.6¢0¢$0−$34−$1.53
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?No1,16357¢0¢$0−$663−$880
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Yes96453¢0¢$0−$511+$23
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Yes9473.3¢0¢$0−$31−$1.46
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Yes9333.8¢0¢$0−$35−$56
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?Yes8671.4¢0¢$0−$12−$0.58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No83022.3¢0¢$0−$185−$104
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No64056¢0¢$0−$358−$51
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes61515.4¢0¢$0−$95$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?Yes3850.4¢0¢$0−$1.54+$0.46
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Yes3156.2¢0¢$0−$20−$0.87
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes28011¢0¢$0−$31−$1.11
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?Yes2430.3¢0¢$0−$0.73+$4.37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes22484¢0¢$0−$188+$14
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes20014.4¢0¢$0−$29−$12
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes1854.2¢0¢$0−$7.68−$0.35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes1802.3¢0¢$0−$4.14−$0.20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Yes16454.6¢0¢$0−$89−$2.03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes15013.9¢0¢$0−$21−$0.90
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?No14330¢0¢$0−$43−$92
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?Yes1284.7¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes12420.6¢0¢$0−$26−$98
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes1171¢0¢$0−$1.20−$0.06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes11510.2¢0¢$0−$12−$1.26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Yes1074.2¢0¢$0−$4.47−$0.17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Yes10050¢0¢$0−$50−$19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Yes10036¢0¢$0−$36$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes10014¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?Yes9427¢0¢$0−$25−$34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes9315.2¢0¢$0−$14−$3.64
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes5536.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.64
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?Yes4112¢0¢$0−$4.90−$9.11
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No2095¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?Yes185.4¢0¢$0−$0.96+$2.91
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?Yes339.9¢0¢$0−$1.28−$67
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No223¢0¢$0−$0.39−$46

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?4.5¢611$2757%64
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?8¢63$5.0357%64
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?8¢233$1957%64
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?95.7¢194$18657%64
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?72¢55$4057%64
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?13.8¢63$8.6857%64
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?22.1¢115$2557%64
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?81.4¢120$9857%64
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?27¢115$3157%64
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?3¢35$1.0457%64
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?11.9¢379$4557%64
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?92¢55$5157%64
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?92.2¢65$6057%64
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?88.9¢194$17257%64
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?95.7¢225$21657%64
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?95.8¢225$21657%64
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?95.6¢170$16357%64
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?89¢157$14057%64
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?83.1¢112$9357%64
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?91¢268$24457%64