sharpside
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Traders/Rank #13,158

Treeman666

0x022…7a01
WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,440vol $93.1k
PnL 30d+$258gains $208 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$93win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate74.6%adj 72.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$16.1kcash n/a
Positions12 / 185open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.3%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,046below peak −$154Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 74.6% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 12

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No7,54694.1¢96.4¢$7,270+$170$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3,64783.5¢90.5¢$3,300+$254$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No2,75784.8¢77.9¢$2,146−$190+$210
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,10790.4¢96.1¢$2,024+$119$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No92084.2¢90.5¢$833+$58$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No27068¢58.5¢$158−$26$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No14073¢70.5¢$99−$3.50$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No15063¢64.5¢$97+$2.25$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes12669¢70.5¢$89+$1.89$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes5067¢59.5¢$30−$3.75$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes2063¢63.5¢$13+$0.10$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes1549¢0¢$0−$7.35−$0.15

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?77.9¢150$11775%57
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢220$20075%57
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?63¢20$1375%57
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?69¢126$8775%57
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?96.3¢1,100$1,05975%57
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?96.2¢1,500$1,44375%57
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?73¢140$10275%57
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?96.2¢200$19275%57
BUY YesWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?95.9¢442$42475%57
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?63¢150$9575%57
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?95.7¢147$14175%57
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?93.1¢798$74375%57
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?93¢79$7375%57
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?67¢50$3475%57
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?68¢50$3475%57
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?68¢220$15075%57
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?84¢300$25275%57
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?94¢568$53475%57
BUY NoWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?84.1¢200$16875%57
BUY YesWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?88.6¢143$12775%57