PnL all-time−$1,205vol $221k
PnL 30d+$353gains $989 · losses $823
PnL 7d+$221win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate51.3%adj 51.1% · 30d 58.3%
Open value$3,943cash n/a
Positions10 / 166open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$661below peak −$1,189Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.3% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yesclosed−$536Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$504Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? · Noclosed−$502US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$420Maduro out by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$299
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 95.9¢ | 97.6¢ | $1,951 | +$33 | +$40 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 64.1¢ | 71.6¢ | $716 | +$74 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 500 | 84.4¢ | 86.4¢ | $432 | +$9.75 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 400 | 76¢ | 82¢ | $328 | +$24 | −$2.07 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? | Yes | 300 | 52¢ | 77.5¢ | $233 | +$77 | $0 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 17¢ | 16¢ | $160 | −$9.91 | −$11 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 333 | 15¢ | 18.8¢ | $63 | +$13 | +$49 | |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | Yes | 1,000 | 5¢ | 4.5¢ | $45 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | Yes | 100 | 9.4¢ | 13¢ | $13 | +$3.57 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL? | Yes | 200 | 4.5¢ | 1.9¢ | $3.80 | −$5.13 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s