PnL all-time+$144vol $7,431
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate38.4%adj 39.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$294cash n/a
Positions5 / 287open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.8%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$157below peak −$12Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale31
Adjusted win rateraw 38.4% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesopen+$218Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Downclosed+$18Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Upclosed+$12Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Downclosed+$9.98Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Downclosed+$9.98
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? · Yesopen−$25Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Downclosed−$16Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Downclosed−$11Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Downclosed−$11Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Downclosed−$10
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 294 | 26¢ | 100¢ | $294 | +$218 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | Yes | 335 | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Nettspend release an album in 2026? | No | 63 | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.77 | $0 | |
| Will Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election? | Yes | 26 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.39 | $0 | |
| Will 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be at least 40k? | Yes | 8 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.40 | $0 |
Recent trades
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