PnL all-time+$28.3kvol $9.52M
PnL 30d+$617gains $2,354 · losses $2,390
PnL 7d+$399win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate76.3%adj 74.9% · 30d 76.9%
Open value$21.4kcash n/a
Positions4 / 394open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.2%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$30.7kbelow peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 76.3% · shrunk toward 50%87
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$8,768Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$7,092US forces in Venezuela by December 31? · Yesclosed+$4,440Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed+$3,740Will the price of XRP be between $2.80 and $2.90 on September 28? · Yesclosed+$3,140
Worst markets
US forces in Venezuela by December 31? · Noclosed−$4,390Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$3,963No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$3,493No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$2,848Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$2,185
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10.0k | 84.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $8,450 | −$27 | +$1,120 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 6,001 | 93¢ | 94.5¢ | $5,671 | +$90 | +$7.94 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 5,000 | 90¢ | 90.5¢ | $4,525 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? | No | 2,924 | 87.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,734 | +$179 | +$39 |
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