sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,537

Tyatsmr

0x029…93c4
PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$15.0kvol $1.11M
PnL 30d+$11.6kgains $15.1k · losses $717
PnL 7d+$11.9kwin rate 7d 96.3%
Win rate74.8%adj 73.9% · 30d 96.4%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions204 / 715open / all-time
Max drawdown−59.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.4kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 74.8% · shrunk toward 50%85
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable95
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity41

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes53.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$65+$22
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No33.2k12.3¢0¢$0−$4,081$0
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No22.5k12.2¢0¢$0−$2,742$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes19.0k20.2¢0¢$0−$3,834$0
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes13.2k16.4¢0¢$0−$2,178−$723
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes10.0k5.4¢0¢$0−$541−$288
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes10,00013.1¢0¢$0−$1,310$0
Will 3 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes9,8450.3¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?Yes9,0511.8¢0¢$0−$162+$10
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes7,7297.6¢0¢$0−$591$0
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?No6,28215.1¢0¢$0−$949$0
Will the Giants draft Cameron Ward?Yes4,7413.8¢0¢$0−$182+$3.67
Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes4,2519.1¢0¢$0−$386+$36
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?No3,57418.5¢0¢$0−$660$0
Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No3,28933¢0¢$0−$1,084+$5.34
Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?Yes2,5592¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter?Yes2,55047.7¢0¢$0−$1,217+$5.47
Will Trey Hendrickson win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?Yes2,4803.2¢0¢$0−$79$0
Will Ole Miss win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes2,4741.1¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes2,46313.6¢0¢$0−$334$0
Will Joe Burrow win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?No2,45037.3¢0¢$0−$915+$14
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes2,3975.2¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes2,17118¢0¢$0−$391−$2.61
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East?Yes2,1705.1¢0¢$0−$111$0
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes2,10833.3¢0¢$0−$702+$330
Trump kiss by May 31?No2,07360.9¢0¢$0−$1,263−$9.69
DeepSeek V4 released before July?Yes1,97641.3¢0¢$0−$817$0
Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders?Yes1,76216.9¢0¢$0−$297+$172
Will Oklahoma make the College Football Playoff?No1,5930.2¢0¢$0−$3.19$0
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No1,58811.9¢0¢$0−$188−$7.97
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes1,5715.2¢0¢$0−$82−$382
Will Abdul Carter be the second pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes1,4548.6¢0¢$0−$125$0
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?Yes1,44621¢0¢$0−$303+$7.05
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?No1,34183.5¢0¢$0−$1,120$0
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes1,25210.2¢0¢$0−$127$0
Will Stephon Castle win NBA Rookie of the Year?No1,09938.1¢0¢$0−$419$0
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?Yes1,0322.2¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will the Giants draft Mykel Williams?Yes1,0210.5¢0¢$0−$5.20$0
Will the Browns draft Abdul Carter?Yes1,0185.7¢0¢$0−$58$0
Will Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?Yes98062.6¢0¢$0−$614−$8.49
Will Shedeur Sanders start Week 1 for the Browns?Yes9765.7¢0¢$0−$56$0
Will Quinyon Mitchell win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?Yes9143¢0¢$0−$28+$27
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?No89214.2¢0¢$0−$126−$2.21
Will Jaxson Dart be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes8740.7¢0¢$0−$6.12$0
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes8680.4¢0¢$0−$3.25+$328
Jets vs. RavensJets83312¢0¢$0−$100$0
Saints vs. RamsSaints83312¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?No76230.8¢0¢$0−$235$0
Will the Carolina Panthers make the playoffs?No67346.6¢0¢$0−$313$0
Jets vs. PatriotsJets66715¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Travis hunter only play offense?Yes65614.8¢0¢$0−$97$0
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Yes63365.6¢0¢$0−$415$0
Vikings vs. SeahawksVikings62516¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Giants draft Travis Hunter in 2025?Yes6248.5¢0¢$0−$53−$0.16
Will the Patriots draft Will Campbell?No61578.1¢0¢$0−$480$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes6005¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will the Browns draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes57765.2¢0¢$0−$376−$3.04
Will the Patriots draft Travis Hunter in 2025?Yes55311¢0¢$0−$61−$16
Will Sam Darnold win NFL Comeback Player of the Year?Yes54631.1¢0¢$0−$170$0
Chargers vs. TitansTitans52619¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win a regular season game first?No52659.2¢0¢$0−$311$0
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes51862.5¢0¢$0−$324−$4.86
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?No50091.9¢0¢$0−$460−$2.10
Raiders vs. ChargersRaiders50020¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes5008¢0¢$0−$40$0
Ravens vs. BrownsBrowns50020¢0¢$0−$100$0
Lions vs. CommandersCommanders50020¢0¢$0−$100$0
Raiders vs. BroncosRaiders50020¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes5004.5¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes4995¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will the Buffalo Bills finish with the best record in the NFL?Yes49715¢0¢$0−$75$0
Will the Washington Commanders finish with the worst record in the NFL?Yes4560.2¢0¢$0−$0.91$0
Ravens vs. DolphinsDolphins45522¢0¢$0−$100$0
Broncos vs. RaidersRaiders45522¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?Yes44920.2¢0¢$0−$91$0
Will another player win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?Yes4485.5¢0¢$0−$25−$0.81
Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?No44768.9¢0¢$0−$308$0
Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year?Yes4466.6¢0¢$0−$29+$431
Seahawks vs. FalconsFalcons41724¢0¢$0−$100$0
Texans vs. TitansTitans41724¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Chicago Bears win the NFC North?No41592.8¢0¢$0−$385−$11
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?Yes40917.1¢0¢$0−$70+$51
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Yes40928¢0¢$0−$115+$60
Browns vs. Raiders: O/U 36.5Over39251¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will the top 3 players drafted be Ward, Hunter, and Abdul Carter?No3876¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will the Denver Broncos finish with the best record in the NFL?Yes3775¢0¢$0−$19$0
Broncos vs. CommandersCommanders37027¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Jaguars draft Travis Hunter?No36184¢0¢$0−$303$0
Vikings vs. PackersVikings35728¢0¢$0−$100$0
Saints vs. DolphinsSaints34529¢0¢$0−$100$0
Buccaneers vs. BillsBuccaneers33330¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?No33147.4¢0¢$0−$157+$0.29
Will Ja’Marr Chase win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?Yes3247.8¢0¢$0−$25+$144
49ers vs. BrownsBrowns32331¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?Yes30731.8¢0¢$0−$98−$25
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?No30513¢0¢$0−$40−$1.38
Will the Jets draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes30512.5¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes30014¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will the Browns draft Cameron Ward?Yes29726.9¢0¢$0−$80+$9.99
Ravens vs. VikingsVikings28635¢0¢$0−$100$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?97.8¢247$24175%66
BUY YesWill Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?98¢216$21175%66
BUY YesWill JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?66.5¢362$24175%66
BUY YesWill JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?78¢29$2375%66
BUY YesWill JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?72¢44$3275%66
BUY YesWill JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?71.5¢92$6675%66
BUY NoWill Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?74.9¢946$70875%66
BUY YesWill JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?64.7¢348$22575%66
BUY NoWill Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?54.5¢36$2075%66
BUY YesWill JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?46¢35$1675%66
BUY YesWill JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?36¢53$1975%66
BUY YesWill Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?95¢20$1975%66
BUY NoWill Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?95.4¢56$5375%66
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?97.3¢53$5275%66
BUY YesWill JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?45.4¢50$2375%66
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?97.5¢875$85375%66
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?97¢83$8175%66
BUY YesWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?98.8¢210$20775%66
BUY YesWill Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83¢10$8.2775%66
BUY NoWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?87¢10$8.7075%66