PnL all-time−$118vol $53.9k
PnL 30d+$439gains $0.98 · losses $94
PnL 7d+$305win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$4,557cash n/a
Positions6 / 11open / all-time
Max drawdown−66.4%of equity peak
Account age25dlast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$439below peak −$34Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable35
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity34
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen+$303Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen+$49NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Noopen+$30China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Noclosed+$0.43Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yesopen+$0.42
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 34.7k | 8.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $3,295 | +$326 | −$23 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,574 | 60.2¢ | 63.5¢ | $1,000 | +$51 | −$2.33 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 245 | 81.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $230 | +$30 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | 18 | 70¢ | 71.5¢ | $13 | +$0.28 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 17 | 60¢ | 62.5¢ | $10 | +$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 14 | 73¢ | 72.5¢ | $9.93 | −$0.07 | $0 |
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