Traders/Rank #4,068

purplegatto

0x032…2a9e

WhaleWR 70+WR 60+Sport

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$2.11Mvol $63.6M

PnL 30d+$182kgains $214k · losses $111k

PnL 7d−$13.0kwin rate 7d 71.4%

Win rate72.4%adj 71.5% · 30d 72.4%

Open value$373kcash n/a

Positions2,000 / 12,951open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age5molast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1.59Mbelow peak −$1.77MOct 8

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 72.4% · shrunk toward 50%79

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Rams vs. Eagles · Ramsclosed+$18.6k 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yesclosed+$18.1k Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yesopen+$17.7k Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yesclosed+$17.6k Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$10.2k

Worst markets

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yesopen−$52.4k Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yesopen−$51.5k Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? · Yesopen−$44.4k Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5 · Overopen−$38.8k Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 · Underopen−$34.4k

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	40.9k	86¢	85.5¢	$35.0k	−$194	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	40.5k	58.7¢	63.5¢	$25.7k	+$1,958	−$1,500	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	38.4k	65.1¢	63.5¢	$24.4k	−$619	−$21	26d 1h
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	20.5k	82.5¢	84¢	$17.2k	+$307	−$117	3mo
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?	No	14.6k	96¢	97.3¢	$14.2k	+$183	$0	26d 1h
Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	No	13.3k	98.1¢	99.5¢	$13.2k	+$181	−$437	8mo
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?	No	13.5k	97¢	97¢	$13.1k	−$6.73	$0	26d 1h
Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?	No	10.6k	96¢	96.3¢	$10.2k	+$32	$0	26d 1h
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	16.9k	62.3¢	56.5¢	$9,536	−$983	−$184	3mo
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	54.4k	39.4¢	15.5¢	$8,425	−$13.0k	−$3,823	20d 1h
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	19.8k	44.1¢	39.6¢	$7,828	−$887	+$38	3mo
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	19.1k	58.9¢	38.5¢	$7,354	−$3,902	−$232	53d 1h
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	10.5k	62.9¢	62.5¢	$6,534	−$38	−$581	26d 1h
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	9,743	24.6¢	65.4¢	$6,372	+$3,978	+$309	53d 1h
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	7,265	84.5¢	84.5¢	$6,139	+$3.30	$0	26d 1h
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	10.1k	43.5¢	57.8¢	$5,839	+$1,444	+$3.00	ended
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10.3k	46.1¢	54¢	$5,573	+$815	+$6.34	3mo
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	5,664	93¢	91.5¢	$5,183	−$85	−$18.7k	26d 1h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	6,008	54.8¢	84.5¢	$5,076	+$1,783	−$2,822	20d 1h
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	7,412	61¢	61.5¢	$4,558	+$39	$0	ended
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	18.6k	13.7¢	23.4¢	$4,341	+$1,800	+$5,257	22d 1h
Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?	No	4,284	94.9¢	98.6¢	$4,222	+$156	$0	26d 1h
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	5,436	54.8¢	77.5¢	$4,213	+$1,234	−$2,021	22d 1h
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	6,152	54.4¢	63.5¢	$3,906	+$558	−$40	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-35 House seat?	Yes	3,478	95¢	98¢	$3,406	+$103	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-14 House seat?	Yes	3,362	93.7¢	99.7¢	$3,350	+$199	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	3,681	93.8¢	90.5¢	$3,331	−$122	−$781	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-20 House seat?	Yes	3,371	99¢	98.2¢	$3,309	−$28	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-02 House seat?	Yes	3,154	96¢	98.9¢	$3,120	+$92	$0	26d 1h
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	4,099	84.5¢	75.6¢	$3,097	−$368	−$6,298	22d 1h
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	6,904	37.1¢	43.5¢	$3,003	+$443	+$1,256	22d 1h
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	6,887	24.1¢	39¢	$2,686	+$1,023	+$434	53d 1h
Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?	No	2,733	96.1¢	96.8¢	$2,644	+$18	$0	26d 1h
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	3,910	67¢	66¢	$2,581	−$39	−$1,492	3mo
Will the Republican Party win the KY-05 House seat?	Yes	2,639	96¢	96.6¢	$2,549	+$16	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?	Yes	2,315	94¢	98.9¢	$2,288	+$112	$0	26d 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	2,245	94¢	98¢	$2,200	+$91	$0	23d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-03 House seat?	Yes	2,236	94.6¢	96.5¢	$2,157	+$43	$0	26d 1h
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	2,438	58.6¢	85.7¢	$2,088	+$661	−$1,557	ended
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	3,346	59¢	61.5¢	$2,058	+$84	−$4.84	26d 1h
Will the Republican Party win the WA-10 House seat?	No	2,075	95¢	97.5¢	$2,022	+$51	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	2,947	58¢	68.5¢	$2,018	+$310	−$8.50	26d 1h
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	2,387	89.1¢	83.8¢	$1,999	−$127	$0	ended
Will the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?	Yes	2,017	93.6¢	97.1¢	$1,958	+$71	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-03 House seat?	No	1,920	94¢	97¢	$1,861	+$57	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?	Yes	1,787	94¢	96.5¢	$1,725	+$45	$0	26d 1h
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2,153	66.4¢	79.5¢	$1,712	+$282	−$1,529	ended
Raiders vs. Patriots	Patriots	2,734	63¢	62.5¢	$1,709	−$14	$0	2d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	3,008	51.7¢	55.5¢	$1,669	+$113	$0	26d 1h
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	2,312	70.1¢	71.5¢	$1,653	+$32	−$17	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	3,671	36.2¢	38.5¢	$1,413	+$83	+$22	26d 1h
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	1,913	73¢	73.7¢	$1,409	+$13	−$860	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?	Yes	1,417	96¢	97¢	$1,374	+$14	$0	26d 1h
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	20.0k	3.9¢	6.9¢	$1,367	+$592	+$6,093	22d 1h
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	1,586	83¢	85¢	$1,348	+$32	$0	26d 1h
Flyers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5	Under	2,198	60¢	59.5¢	$1,308	−$11	$0	ended
Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	1,233	89¢	95.3¢	$1,174	+$77	$0	8mo
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	1,255	93.1¢	93.5¢	$1,173	+$4.44	−$36	3mo
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	No	1,178	97.2¢	98.5¢	$1,160	+$15	$0	26d 1h
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	23.6k	17.5¢	4.9¢	$1,157	−$2,965	+$20.7k	3mo
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	3,738	29.5¢	30.5¢	$1,140	+$37	+$237	3mo
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	No	1,474	43.9¢	76.5¢	$1,128	+$480	$0	3mo
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	1,122	98.3¢	99.7¢	$1,118	+$15	−$38	58d 1h
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	1,088	99.8¢	99.9¢	$1,087	+$1.09	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?	Yes	1,093	94.7¢	98.7¢	$1,078	+$43	$0	26d 1h
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	3,881	28¢	26.5¢	$1,028	−$58	+$4.37	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	2,180	47.8¢	45.5¢	$992	−$51	−$10	26d 1h
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-29 House seat?	Yes	1,010	95¢	96.9¢	$979	+$19	$0	26d 1h
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	2,733	40.3¢	35.5¢	$970	−$132	+$44	26d 1h
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	Cowboys	1,543	61¢	60.5¢	$933	−$7.71	$0	1h 13m
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	2,115	28.8¢	42.5¢	$899	+$290	+$15	26d 1h
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	3,662	24¢	23.5¢	$861	−$18	+$57	3mo
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	1,238	58.6¢	67.5¢	$836	+$111	−$62	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,440	67.4¢	57.5¢	$828	−$143	−$784	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	2,145	39.7¢	38.5¢	$826	−$25	+$796	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	1,144	70.1¢	71.5¢	$818	+$16	$0	26d 1h
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	880	80.3¢	90.5¢	$796	+$90	−$3.37	3mo
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	1,296	63.5¢	60.5¢	$784	−$38	−$1,415	15mo
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-05 House seat?	Yes	814	95¢	96.2¢	$783	+$9.76	$0	26d 1h
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	1,005	75¢	77.5¢	$779	+$25	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	2,980	21¢	26¢	$775	+$148	+$590	26d 1h
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	1,226	61.1¢	61.5¢	$754	+$5.20	−$157	26d 1h
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	1,033	71¢	72.5¢	$749	+$16	−$276	26d 1h
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	2,888	18.3¢	24.3¢	$703	+$174	+$1,786	53d 1h
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	3,054	19.9¢	22.6¢	$690	+$83	$0	3mo
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	1,000	60¢	62.5¢	$625	+$25	$0	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	4,967	8.1¢	12.5¢	$621	+$218	$0	26d 1h
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	3,750	17¢	15.5¢	$581	−$56	$0	3mo
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	3,183	18.1¢	17.5¢	$557	−$18	$0	22d 1h
Wild vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5	Over	967	57.5¢	57.5¢	$556	+$0.24	$0	ended
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Yes	874	59¢	61.5¢	$537	+$22	−$12	26d 1h
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	2,021	23.2¢	26.4¢	$533	+$63	+$6.80	26d 1h
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	5,519	7.9¢	9.5¢	$524	+$87	+$3,141	26d 1h
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	954	56¢	54.5¢	$520	−$14	−$29	26d 1h
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	1,688	61¢	30.5¢	$515	−$514	−$138	15mo
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	2,488	20.3¢	18.5¢	$460	−$45	+$1,613	3mo
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	900	47¢	49¢	$441	+$18	$0	9mo
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,000	29.7¢	22¢	$440	−$154	+$1,016	3mo
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	996	43¢	43¢	$428	$0	$0	1d 1h
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	923	9¢	42.5¢	$392	+$309	+$57	3mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1m ago	BUY Patriots	Raiders vs. Patriots	63¢	9	$5.67	72%	37
3m ago	BUY Over	Stars vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5	25¢	165	$41	72%	37
4m ago	BUY Under	Stars vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	44¢	4,645	$2,044	72%	37
5m ago	BUY Patriots	Raiders vs. Patriots	63¢	252	$159	72%	37
8m ago	BUY Patriots	Raiders vs. Patriots	63¢	16	$9.78	72%	37
9m ago	BUY No	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	85.6¢	48	$41	72%	37
9m ago	BUY Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	41¢	393	$161	72%	37
10m ago	BUY Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	41¢	45	$18	72%	37
10m ago	BUY Yes	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	4¢	100	$4.02	72%	37
13m ago	BUY Patriots	Raiders vs. Patriots	63¢	13	$7.94	72%	37
14m ago	BUY Patriots	Raiders vs. Patriots	63¢	106	$67	72%	37
16m ago	BUY Cowboys	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	61¢	218	$133	72%	37
17m ago	BUY Cowboys	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	61¢	39	$24	72%	37
17m ago	BUY Cowboys	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	61¢	7	$4.27	72%	37
17m ago	BUY Cowboys	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	61¢	16	$9.58	72%	37
17m ago	BUY Cowboys	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	61¢	39	$23	72%	37
17m ago	BUY Cowboys	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	61¢	218	$133	72%	37
17m ago	BUY Yes	Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	62¢	192	$119	72%	37
17m ago	BUY Cowboys	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	61¢	15	$9.15	72%	37
18m ago	BUY Cowboys	Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)	61¢	39	$24	72%	37