| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.0k | 54¢ | 63.5¢ | $6,350 | +$950 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 96.9¢ | 97.5¢ | $4,872 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10,000 | 45¢ | 34.5¢ | $3,450 | −$1,050 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | Nothing | 3,000 | 95.1¢ | 98.3¢ | $2,948 | +$96 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,796 | 96.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $1,716 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | Yes | 2,000 | 82¢ | 76.5¢ | $1,530 | −$110 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,000 | 49.3¢ | 48.4¢ | $1,454 | −$24 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2,000 | 37.7¢ | 61.5¢ | $1,230 | +$476 | $0 | |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,106 | 94.2¢ | 94.7¢ | $1,047 | +$5.76 | $0 | |
| Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 1,000 | 94¢ | 99.5¢ | $995 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 92.3¢ | 97.6¢ | $976 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | No | 1,000 | 86.2¢ | 97.1¢ | $971 | +$109 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 1,000 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $955 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | No | 999 | 91.1¢ | 95.4¢ | $953 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 1,000 | 92¢ | 92.5¢ | $925 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 80¢ | 91.5¢ | $915 | +$115 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 1,000 | 93¢ | 90.5¢ | $905 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | No | 1,000 | 93.7¢ | 90.1¢ | $900 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 900 | 93.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $899 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | No | 1,000 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $885 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,000 | 27¢ | 19.7¢ | $786 | −$293 | $0 | |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 53¢ | 77.5¢ | $775 | +$245 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 771 | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $698 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5,000 | 9¢ | 12.5¢ | $625 | +$175 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | Yes | 600 | 87.4¢ | 97.5¢ | $585 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5,000 | 8¢ | 11.5¢ | $575 | +$175 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 2,000 | 46.1¢ | 28.5¢ | $570 | −$351 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 1,000 | 19¢ | 56.5¢ | $565 | +$375 | $0 | |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5,000 | 3.9¢ | 10.8¢ | $538 | +$343 | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,000 | 5.8¢ | 13.1¢ | $522 | +$292 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%? | No | 500 | 93.9¢ | 99.9¢ | $499 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 500 | 91.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $496 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5,001 | 6.8¢ | 9.9¢ | $493 | +$152 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat? | Yes | 500 | 95¢ | 97.4¢ | $487 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 500 | 90¢ | 97.2¢ | $486 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 500 | 94¢ | 97.1¢ | $486 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-01 House seat? | Yes | 500 | 92¢ | 96.7¢ | $484 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 500 | 90¢ | 95.1¢ | $476 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 500 | 95¢ | 94.4¢ | $472 | −$3.25 | $0 | |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%? | No | 500 | 83¢ | 94.1¢ | $471 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 600 | 80¢ | 74.5¢ | $447 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,000 | 13.8¢ | 14.8¢ | $443 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | No | 456 | 94.4¢ | 96.9¢ | $442 | +$11 | +$1.43 | |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 500 | 88¢ | 87.5¢ | $438 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 82¢ | 86.5¢ | $433 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5,000 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | $425 | −$175 | $0 | |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 758 | 50¢ | 55.5¢ | $421 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | 76.1¢ | 69.5¢ | $417 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,000 | 9.3¢ | 10.4¢ | $414 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 1,000 | 41¢ | 41¢ | $410 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 463 | 86¢ | 88¢ | $408 | +$9.26 | +$0.37 | |
| Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | No | 400 | 85¢ | 99.3¢ | $397 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | No | 505 | 94.9¢ | 78.4¢ | $396 | −$84 | $0 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 400 | 89¢ | 96.1¢ | $384 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 400 | 86¢ | 90.5¢ | $362 | +$18 | +$17 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,000 | 18.1¢ | 9¢ | $362 | −$362 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-02 House seat? | Yes | 400 | 85.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $362 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 500 | 78¢ | 70.5¢ | $353 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5,000 | 5.6¢ | 6.7¢ | $332 | +$55 | −$0.09 | |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | No | 380 | 92.5¢ | 87¢ | $331 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 435 | 67.1¢ | 73.5¢ | $320 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat? | Yes | 392 | 86¢ | 81.5¢ | $320 | −$18 | +$2.15 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4,000 | 8.8¢ | 7.9¢ | $314 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat? | Yes | 312 | 93¢ | 97.5¢ | $304 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | No | 310 | 94.5¢ | 95.4¢ | $296 | +$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 95.6¢ | 97.8¢ | $294 | +$6.50 | $0 | |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 304 | 65.7¢ | 96¢ | $292 | +$92 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | Yes | 500 | 92¢ | 57.5¢ | $288 | −$173 | $0 | |
| Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? | Yes | 286 | 74¢ | 98.7¢ | $282 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 41¢ | 53.5¢ | $268 | +$63 | $0 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 300 | 62¢ | 88.5¢ | $265 | +$79 | $0 | |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 500 | 83¢ | 51.5¢ | $257 | −$157 | $0 | |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%? | No | 272 | 94.3¢ | 94.3¢ | $257 | −$0.04 | $0 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 263 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $249 | +$5.25 | +$15 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 56¢ | 47.5¢ | $238 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5,000 | 7¢ | 4.5¢ | $225 | −$125 | $0 | |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1,000 | 20¢ | 22.5¢ | $225 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 51.6¢ | 44¢ | $220 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? | Yes | 300 | 75¢ | 72.5¢ | $218 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | No | 219 | 94¢ | 97.5¢ | $213 | +$7.65 | $0 | |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 209 | 94.3¢ | 99.9¢ | $209 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 215 | 93¢ | 93.9¢ | $202 | +$1.94 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 217 | 94¢ | 93¢ | $201 | −$2.17 | $0 | |
| Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | No | 200 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | Yes | 200 | 78¢ | 99.1¢ | $198 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? | No | 200 | 76¢ | 97.3¢ | $195 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? | Yes | 200 | 95¢ | 97.2¢ | $194 | +$4.40 | $0 | |
| Will Georgia win Junior Eurovision 2026? | No | 230 | 92¢ | 84.5¢ | $194 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat? | Yes | 200 | 95¢ | 96.9¢ | $194 | +$3.80 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 500 | 86¢ | 38.3¢ | $192 | −$239 | $0 | |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? | No | 200 | 88.1¢ | 95.7¢ | $191 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | Yes | 200 | 92¢ | 95.5¢ | $191 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-22 House seat? | Yes | 200 | 87.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $189 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 200 | 75¢ | 93.5¢ | $187 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026? | No | 200 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $187 | +$3.04 | $0 | |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%? | No | 200 | 79.6¢ | 93.3¢ | $187 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1,000 | 21¢ | 18.5¢ | $185 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? | No | 200 | 93¢ | 92.1¢ | $184 | −$1.80 | $0 | |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 195 | 77¢ | 94¢ | $184 | +$33 | +$2.38 | |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 196 | 92¢ | 92.5¢ | $181 | +$0.98 | +$7.69 | |