sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,252

Marketpoll

0x036…9276
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$158kvol $3.81M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate74.7%adj 69.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions25 / 104open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.8%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 9mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$155kbelow peak −$2,116Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 74.7% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes113k2.5¢0¢$0−$2,797$0
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes112k12.1¢0¢$0−$13.6k−$2,442
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?No110k1.2¢0¢$0−$1,303+$1,117
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Yes57.7k4.4¢0¢$0−$2,512$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes47.9k36.8¢0¢$0−$17.6k+$0.69
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?Yes29.7k20.1¢0¢$0−$5,962−$40
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes29.6k6.5¢0¢$0−$1,911−$0.54
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?Yes21.5k2.3¢0¢$0−$488$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?Yes12.7k20.3¢0¢$0−$2,583−$2.76
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes9,6535.5¢0¢$0−$531$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in August 2025?Yes5,7151.4¢0¢$0−$80$0
Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?New Jersey4,9008¢0¢$0−$392$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?Yes4,8125.3¢0¢$0−$256−$342
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes4,33017¢0¢$0−$735$0
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes4,16417.7¢0¢$0−$736$0
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No2,23770.7¢0¢$0−$1,580$0
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No99550.9¢0¢$0−$506$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20–25%?Yes92514.9¢0¢$0−$137−$336
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in October 2025?No78370¢0¢$0−$548$0
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?Yes78116.4¢0¢$0−$128$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025?Yes27517¢0¢$0−$47$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes1396.8¢0¢$0−$9.44$0
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in October 2025?Yes12216¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes2621¢0¢$0−$5.46$0
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?No838¢0¢$0−$3.10$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?3.4¢1,519$5275%56
SELL YesUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?4.1¢172$7.0175%56
SELL YesMaduro out in 2025?7¢8,942$62675%56
SELL YesWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?22¢20$4.4775%56
SELL YesUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?37¢50$1975%56
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?65.9¢5,446$3,59175%56
SELL YesWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.6¢74.4k$44675%56
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?58¢6,076$3,52475%56
SELL YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?62.3¢60$3775%56
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?60¢778$46775%56
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?60¢967$58075%56
BUY YesUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?30¢2,329$69975%56
BUY YesUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?35¢579$20375%56
BUY YesUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?54¢1,684$90975%56
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?57¢265$15175%56
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?56¢313$17575%56
BUY YesWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?9¢152$1475%56
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?55¢339$18675%56
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?56¢114$6475%56
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?54¢146$7975%56