| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | No | 560 | 88.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $529 | +$35 | +$1.21 | |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by December 31? | No | 390 | 61.5¢ | 63¢ | $246 | +$5.90 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in October? | No | 215 | 90.2¢ | 97¢ | $208 | +$15 | −$3.92 | |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in October? | No | 221 | 84.4¢ | 94¢ | $208 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31? | No | 200 | 89.4¢ | 87.5¢ | $175 | −$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31? | No | 200 | 86¢ | 86¢ | $172 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | No | 200 | 81¢ | 85¢ | $170 | +$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% before 2027? | No | 200 | 85.5¢ | 84¢ | $168 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? | No | 165 | 82.3¢ | 89.5¢ | $147 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $446,000 on December 31? | No | 148 | 89¢ | 97.3¢ | $144 | +$12 | +$3.40 | |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31? | No | 165 | 87.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $140 | −$4.48 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in October? | No | 161 | 90.3¢ | 85.5¢ | $138 | −$7.68 | +$10 | |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in October? | No | 121 | 88.8¢ | 94.9¢ | $115 | +$7.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? | No | 138 | 83.7¢ | 77.9¢ | $108 | −$7.97 | $0 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? | Yes | 152 | 56¢ | 54.5¢ | $83 | −$2.29 | $0 | |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by October 31? | Yes | 150 | 22¢ | 53.5¢ | $80 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | Yes | 374 | 20.7¢ | 21¢ | $79 | +$1.05 | +$33 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 100 | 75¢ | 76¢ | $76 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 100 | 65¢ | 70.5¢ | $71 | +$5.50 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October? | Yes | 322 | 18.4¢ | 20.5¢ | $66 | +$6.80 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October? | Yes | 321 | 27.9¢ | 19.8¢ | $63 | −$26 | +$3.76 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $45B by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 31¢ | 53.5¢ | $54 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | Yes | 59 | 88.7¢ | 87.9¢ | $52 | −$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? | Yes | 100 | 70¢ | 51.5¢ | $52 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.25B by October 31? | Yes | 76 | 53.7¢ | 67.5¢ | $51 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 27¢ | 25.5¢ | $51 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October? | Yes | 100 | 55.4¢ | 49.5¢ | $49 | −$5.90 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October? | Yes | 240 | 24¢ | 20.5¢ | $49 | −$8.30 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 215 | 16.4¢ | 22.4¢ | $48 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 53.1¢ | 48.2¢ | $48 | −$4.91 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 140 | 47.3¢ | 32¢ | $45 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $327,000 on December 31? | Yes | 200 | 19¢ | 21¢ | $42 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $15 in 2026? | Yes | 120 | 49.3¢ | 34¢ | $41 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31? | No | 56 | 62¢ | 71¢ | $39 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $323,000 and $327,000 on December 31? | Yes | 200 | 13¢ | 19.5¢ | $39 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 100 | 23¢ | 39¢ | $39 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 215 | 18.7¢ | 17.8¢ | $38 | −$2.11 | $0 | |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $27B by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 24¢ | 37.5¢ | $38 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? | Yes | 48 | 83¢ | 76.5¢ | $37 | −$3.12 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 67¢ | 36.5¢ | $37 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October? | Yes | 100 | 53¢ | 36¢ | $36 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 215 | 18¢ | 16¢ | $34 | −$4.31 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $767,000 and $788,000 on December 31? | No | 40 | 83¢ | 84.5¢ | $34 | +$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 28¢ | 16¢ | $32 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 23.8¢ | 31.4¢ | $31 | +$7.55 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 50 | 57¢ | 60.5¢ | $30 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 25.2¢ | 15¢ | $30 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $55B by October 31? | Yes | 100 | 27¢ | 29¢ | $29 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 50 | 64¢ | 57.5¢ | $29 | −$3.25 | $0 | |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | No | 100 | 35.8¢ | 27.5¢ | $28 | −$8.30 | $0 | |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October? | Yes | 137 | 20.6¢ | 20¢ | $27 | −$0.79 | +$2.44 | |
| Will Old Dominion win Vocal Group of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | Yes | 157 | 1¢ | 17.4¢ | $27 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026? | Yes | 50 | 7¢ | 54.5¢ | $27 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will GRID Esports Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award? | Yes | 198 | 1¢ | 13.4¢ | $26 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 17.4¢ | 25.5¢ | $26 | +$8.10 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | 47¢ | 83.5¢ | $25 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Ed Ruscha's “Cities Across the Globe” sell for at least $600k at auction? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 49.5¢ | $25 | −$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? | Yes | 80 | 30¢ | 29.5¢ | $24 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026? | No | 64 | 30.1¢ | 35.2¢ | $22 | +$3.26 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $25 in 2026? | No | 80 | 30¢ | 28¢ | $22 | −$1.60 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31? | Yes | 147 | 15.2¢ | 15.1¢ | $22 | −$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $182.5B by October 31? | Yes | 40 | 41¢ | 55.5¢ | $22 | +$5.80 | $0 | |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? | Yes | 60 | 35¢ | 34¢ | $20 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 200 | 11¢ | 10¢ | $20 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $187.5B by October 31? | Yes | 50 | 50¢ | 40¢ | $20 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 5.4¢ | 18.5¢ | $19 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | Yes | 200 | 4.5¢ | 9¢ | $18 | +$9.10 | $0 | |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%? | Yes | 100 | 15.7¢ | 17.8¢ | $18 | +$2.15 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 200 | 6.2¢ | 8.9¢ | $18 | +$5.30 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 17¢ | 16.5¢ | $16 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 18¢ | 16¢ | $16 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October? | Yes | 50 | 40¢ | 32¢ | $16 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 13¢ | 15.5¢ | $16 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place? | No | 50 | 41¢ | 31¢ | $16 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 18.6¢ | 12.5¢ | $13 | −$6.10 | $0 | |
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0070 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 38¢ | 61.5¢ | $12 | +$4.70 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 40 | 7¢ | 29¢ | $12 | +$8.88 | $0 | |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027? | No | 80 | 18.5¢ | 14¢ | $11 | −$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 11.3¢ | 10.7¢ | $11 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | Yes | 100 | 14¢ | 10.5¢ | $11 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 39¢ | 47.5¢ | $9.50 | +$1.70 | $0 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? | Yes | 100 | 17¢ | 9.5¢ | $9.50 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 34 | 20¢ | 25¢ | $8.61 | +$1.72 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 100 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | $8.50 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | $8.50 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $140 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60 | 18.3¢ | 12.5¢ | $7.50 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October? | Yes | 20 | 30.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $7.50 | +$1.45 | +$3.95 | |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 210 | 3.3¢ | 3.5¢ | $7.35 | +$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55 | 6.5¢ | 12.6¢ | $6.93 | +$3.34 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 150 | 8¢ | 3.7¢ | $5.55 | −$6.47 | $0 | |
| Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 100 | 12.5¢ | 5.1¢ | $5.10 | −$7.40 | $0 | |
| Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50 | 28¢ | 10¢ | $5.00 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | Yes | 81 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $4.03 | +$1.59 | $0 | |
| Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -0.8% and 0.0%? | Yes | 20 | 12¢ | 19.5¢ | $3.90 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%? | Yes | 50 | 2.4¢ | 6.3¢ | $3.13 | +$1.93 | $0 | |
| Will Esports Charts Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award? | Yes | 64 | 0.7¢ | 4.5¢ | $2.88 | +$2.43 | $0 | |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 6¢ | 2.7¢ | $2.65 | −$3.35 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 3.00 to 3.99 ft by November 30? | Yes | 50 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $2.50 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 5.4¢ | 2.3¢ | $2.25 | −$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 5.4¢ | 2.2¢ | $2.20 | −$3.20 | $0 | |