sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,788

MasterOfMankind

0x037…00e3
PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$215vol $8,117
PnL 30d+$906gains $180 · losses $253
PnL 7d+$1,163win rate 7d 37.5%
Win rate25.0%adj 38.9% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$1,399cash n/a
Positions13 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.4%of equity peak
Account age31dlast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$888below peak −$36Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 25.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d88
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October? · Noopen+$724Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? · Noopen+$91Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? · Noclosed+$81Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$79No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$76

Worst markets

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 8? · Noclosed−$50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6AM ET · Upclosed−$50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Upclosed−$50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Downclosed−$50Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · Noclosed−$50

Open positions · 13

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?No8471¢86.5¢$733+$724$0
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Yes21723¢59.5¢$129+$79$0
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes13237.7¢94.9¢$125+$76$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No18821¢63.5¢$119+$80+$12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes26019.2¢39.9¢$104+$54$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?No18315¢41.5¢$76+$49$0
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Yes18613¢29.5¢$55+$31+$16
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?No2938¢83¢$24+$13$0
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?No1922.1¢87.7¢$17+$12$0
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?No1038.1¢98¢$9.69+$5.92$0
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Yes37512¢1.3¢$4.87−$40$0
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes625¢53.5¢$3.23+$1.72$0
Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?No7511¢0¢$0−$7.51$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?96¢128$12325%21
SELL YesWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?33¢83$2725%21
SELL NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?45¢50$2325%21
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET50¢28$1425%21
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET60¢20$1225%21