sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

roadstar

0x038…62d1
WR 60+OtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$103vol $10.2k
PnL 30d+$41gains $0 · losses $5.00
PnL 7d+$2.57win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.6%adj 61.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,023cash n/a
Positions22 / 57open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.5%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$185below peak −$44Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 68.6% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · Noclosed+$145US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Yesclosed+$60SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Noclosed+$54SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? · Noclosed+$39Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? · Yesclosed+$26

Worst markets

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? · Yesclosed−$80Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · Noopen−$45US recession by end of 2026? · Yesclosed−$42US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? · Yesclosed−$40Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31? · Noopen−$39

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?No50194.8¢99¢$496+$21$0
Will BMO fail by end of 2026?No20897.1¢98¢$203+$1.86$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No20096.1¢98.7¢$197+$5.10$0
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No20089.2¢97.7¢$195+$17$0
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No14190¢97¢$137+$9.78$0
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No11291.8¢97.3¢$109+$6.06$0
Fed abolished before 2027?No10293.7¢98.6¢$101+$5.05$0
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?No8196.9¢98.4¢$80+$1.20$0
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?No8094.9¢97.8¢$78+$2.34$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No10061¢73¢$73+$12$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No13261.6¢46.5¢$61−$20$0
Will RBC fail by end of 2026?No6296.9¢96.7¢$60−$0.16$0
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?No5750.7¢91¢$52+$23$0
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?No5092¢98.1¢$49+$3.02$0
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?No5096.6¢97.6¢$49+$0.45$0
Will UBS fail by end of 2026?No3996.5¢98.8¢$39+$0.90$0
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?No2495.8¢97.9¢$23+$0.49$0
Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?No2196.7¢97.4¢$20+$0.13$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Yes15010¢0.4¢$0.60−$14$0
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No8665.1¢0¢$0−$44−$0.44
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?No5075.4¢0¢$0−$38−$1.80
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes5030¢0¢$0−$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?4.5¢49$2.2269%45
SELL YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?84.5¢50$4269%45
BUY NoWill UBS fail by end of 2026?96.6¢10$9.6669%45
BUY NoWill BMO fail by end of 2026?96.4¢34$3369%45
BUY YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?73.6¢50$3769%45
BUY NoWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?83¢27$2269%45
BUY NoWill UBS fail by end of 2026?96.5¢29$2869%45
BUY NoWill Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?96.5¢10$9.6569%45
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?96.3¢10$9.6369%45
BUY NoWill BMO fail by end of 2026?96.3¢9$8.8269%45
BUY NoWill BMO fail by end of 2026?96.5¢47$4669%45
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?96.7¢30$2969%45
BUY NoWill Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?96.9¢81$7969%45
BUY NoElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?2.5¢300$7.5069%45
BUY NoElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?7.4¢54$3.9669%45
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?96.8¢5$4.8469%45
BUY YesWill Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?35.4¢47$1769%45
BUY NoWill JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?95.8¢24$2369%45
BUY YesWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?98.9¢70$6969%45
BUY NoOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?62.8¢99$6269%45