PnL all-time+$5,337vol $1.41M
PnL 30d+$4,034gains $3,054 · losses $1,194
PnL 7d+$4,633win rate 7d 73.3%
Win rate43.6%adj 43.8% · 30d 46.5%
Open value$463cash n/a
Positions5 / 954open / all-time
Max drawdown−76.6%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 10h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$5,996below peak −$4,413Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 43.6% · shrunk toward 50%9
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity23
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,562Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,325Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,107Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,038Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? · Yesclosed+$980
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,562Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,938Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,794Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,530Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? · Yesclosed−$944
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 4,980 | 1.6¢ | 6.2¢ | $309 | +$231 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 7,531 | 0.8¢ | 2.1¢ | $154 | +$95 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | Yes | 449 | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$1.18 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | Yes | 182 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | −$2.04 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | Yes | 114 | 45.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51 | +$16 |
Recent trades
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