sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Mandalorec

0x039…9b6c
WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,956vol $106k
PnL 30d+$2,659gains $4,494 · losses $2,447
PnL 7d+$48win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate60.7%adj 60.3% · 30d 67.9%
Open value$3,874cash n/a
Positions29 / 478open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.1%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,316below peak −$285Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 60.7% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? · Yesclosed+$348Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? · Noclosed+$324Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$303Will Claude go down 12+ times in July? · Yesclosed+$209Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? · Yesclosed+$195

Worst markets

Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? · Noopen−$269Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1? · Noclosed−$234Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026 · Noclosed−$223Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yesclosed−$199Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? · Noclosed−$192

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No83024¢30¢$249+$50$0
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No25068¢98.6¢$246+$76$0
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Yes55536¢44¢$244+$44$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes45835.2¢52¢$238+$77$0
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?No45343.8¢49.5¢$224+$26$0
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?No19374.9¢95¢$183+$39$0
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in September?No22072.6¢78.4¢$172+$13$0
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?No17984¢96¢$172+$21$0
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?No34050.1¢50.1¢$170−$0.17$0
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in September?No16789.5¢99.4¢$166+$17$0
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No16070¢91.2¢$146+$34$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?No19553.8¢71.6¢$140+$35$0
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Yes15069¢92.5¢$139+$35+$16
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No36442¢36.5¢$133−$20+$0.58
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?No16074.5¢76.5¢$122+$3.14$0
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?No30836.4¢38.5¢$119+$6.52+$1.71
Will Hyperliquid reach $108 in October?Yes59019.4¢19.5¢$115+$0.39$0
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes18054¢62.5¢$113+$15+$27
Will more than 595,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?No15186¢73.5¢$111−$19$0
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No10183.4¢95.5¢$96+$12+$12
Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Shavkat Mirziyoyev in Turkmenistan?No10083¢93.5¢$94+$11$0
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Hike 25 bps68031¢12.5¢$85−$126$0
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Yes15051.6¢56¢$84+$6.64$0
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?No59830.2¢13.5¢$81−$100+$51
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No18355¢38¢$70−$31+$22
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes11054.6¢63¢$69+$9.21$0
Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September?No6784¢94.2¢$63+$6.79+$18
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No9774¢19.5¢$19−$53$0
Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No2,26812.4¢0.5¢$12−$269$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?53.8¢195$10561%69
BUY NoRepublican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?50.1¢340$17061%69
BUY YesWill "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?51.6¢150$7761%69
BUY NoWill the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?74.5¢160$11961%69
BUY NoWill Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Shavkat Mirziyoyev in Turkmenistan?83¢100$8361%69
BUY NoWill October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?11.5¢670$7761%69
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" score at least 20 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?68¢250$17061%69
BUY YesWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?36¢555$20061%69
BUY NoWill October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?12.7¢1,489$18961%69
BUY NoWill a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?84¢179$15061%69
BUY NoWill more than 595,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?86¢151$13061%69
BUY YesWill MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?46.6¢270$12661%69
BUY NoWill the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?24¢830$19961%69
SELL YesJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?2.7¢80$2.1661%69
BUY NoWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?43.8¢453$19861%69
BUY YesWill Hyperliquid reach $108 in October?19.4¢590$11561%69
BUY YesWill US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 102.00 in October?83¢204$16961%69
BUY NoWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?83.4¢201$16861%69
BUY NoWill Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September?84¢201$16961%69
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?35.1¢448$15761%69