sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,683

DontTrustMe

0x040…a7ee
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.9kvol $129k
PnL 30d+$1,750gains $2,768 · losses $1,370
PnL 7d+$1,178win rate 7d 94.7%
Win rate88.6%adj 82.8% · 30d 88.0%
Open value$15.7kcash n/a
Positions44 / 159open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.3%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 13m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12.9kbelow peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 88.6% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 44

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No3,12851.3¢74¢$2,315+$711$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No1,85471.5¢85.5¢$1,585+$260$0
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,38486.4¢95.1¢$1,316+$119$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No1,20083.3¢93.5¢$1,122+$122$0
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?No1,07185.3¢94.5¢$1,012+$99$0
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No90073.6¢89¢$801+$139$0
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No81683.2¢92¢$751+$71$0
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No60271.6¢97.5¢$587+$156$0
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No51885.2¢96.6¢$500+$59+$12
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes50069.8¢96.9¢$484+$135$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No50083.6¢96.2¢$481+$63$0
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No50074.6¢93.5¢$467+$94$0
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No41981¢92¢$386+$46$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?No50064.9¢76.5¢$382+$58$0
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No39190¢95.3¢$372+$21$0
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes41953.6¢80¢$335+$111+$0.45
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes50067.6¢58¢$290−$48$0
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No28588.6¢98.3¢$280+$27$0
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No20083.7¢97.4¢$195+$27$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No20085¢97¢$194+$24$0
Macron out by December 31, 2026?No20085¢96.1¢$192+$22$0
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No19359.3¢86.5¢$167+$53$0
Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No20159.9¢76¢$153+$32$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No14587.7¢97.5¢$142+$14+$8.83
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No12868¢94¢$120+$33$0
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No12383.5¢94.1¢$116+$13+$3.01
Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?Yes14159.3¢74.5¢$105+$21$0
Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Yes10090¢96.4¢$96+$6.40$0
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No10090¢96.1¢$96+$6.05$0
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes15055.4¢59.5¢$89+$6.09+$5.57
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No8783.9¢95.6¢$84+$10$0
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No11271.6¢68.5¢$77−$3.47$0
SpaceXAI announces a training pause by October 31?No6852.9¢96¢$65+$29$0
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20030.5¢30.5¢$61$0$0
Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen?No6784.1¢89.8¢$60+$3.82$0
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?No6078¢91.5¢$55+$8.10$0
Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No4056.5¢97.3¢$39+$16$0
Will Russia make Eric Adams a citizen?No3590¢92.5¢$32+$0.88$0
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No4366.9¢75¢$32+$3.43$0
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No2588¢94.7¢$24+$1.68$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes6,0009.8¢0.4¢$21−$565$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?No1785¢97.5¢$17+$2.16+$24
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes1085¢98.7¢$9.87+$1.36$0
French election called by December 31, 2026?No150¢95.3¢$0.99+$0.47$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?66¢5$3.5089%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?95¢20$1989%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Christine Lagarde win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?99.7¢333$33289%82Sharp
BUY YesWill an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?60¢31$1889%82Sharp
SELL NoWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?96.9¢600$58189%82Sharp
BUY YesWill SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?89.8¢150$13589%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?85.6¢406$34789%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?68.5¢21$1489%82Sharp
SELL NoWill Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?99.9¢207$20789%82Sharp
SELL NoWill the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?99.9¢51$5189%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?72.9¢161$11789%82Sharp
BUY YesWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?70.3¢39$2889%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?49.1¢150$7489%82Sharp
BUY YesWill Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?96.6¢60$5889%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?82.9¢454$37689%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?87.6¢81$7189%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?78¢60$4789%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?85¢25$2189%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?89.8¢174$15689%82Sharp
BUY NoWill Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?84.6¢137$11689%82Sharp