| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 91¢ | 94.3¢ | $1,885 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | No | 1,453 | 82¢ | 99.3¢ | $1,442 | +$251 | +$130 | |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | 1,096 | 94.5¢ | 98.8¢ | $1,083 | +$46 | $0 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 665 | 87¢ | 83.5¢ | $555 | −$23 | +$137 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September? | No | 245 | 90¢ | 87.5¢ | $215 | −$6.13 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 219 | 88.1¢ | 89.5¢ | $196 | +$3.06 | −$25 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 110 | 82¢ | 91.5¢ | $101 | +$10 | +$1.43 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 99 | 78.1¢ | 96.4¢ | $95 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 94 | 88¢ | 91.5¢ | $86 | +$3.29 | −$5.62 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 88 | 84¢ | 93.5¢ | $82 | +$8.33 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1,100 | 7.3¢ | 6.3¢ | $69 | −$12 | −$63 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | Yes | 85 | 61¢ | 60¢ | $51 | −$0.85 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | No | 45 | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $45 | +$0.65 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 44 | 90¢ | 95.9¢ | $42 | +$2.56 | $0 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 43 | 84.3¢ | 96.5¢ | $42 | +$5.30 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 43 | 87.4¢ | 87.3¢ | $38 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45 | 68.7¢ | 44¢ | $20 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 88 | 61.7¢ | 16.5¢ | $14 | −$40 | −$59 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 103 | 20.5¢ | 11.5¢ | $12 | −$9.35 | +$0.11 | |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | Yes | 40 | 31¢ | 23¢ | $9.20 | −$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 63.5¢ | 74¢ | $7.40 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 44 | 67.2¢ | 12.9¢ | $5.70 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in September? | Yes | 67 | 3.9¢ | 4.4¢ | $2.94 | +$0.36 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 22 | 18¢ | 4¢ | $0.88 | −$3.07 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026? | No | 8 | 19¢ | 8.5¢ | $0.68 | −$0.85 | $0 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 5 | 32¢ | 11¢ | $0.55 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | Sentinels | 2,054 | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | −$1.04 | |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | No | 1,757 | 70.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,241 | −$11 | |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | HANJIN BRION | 1,328 | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$106 | −$121 | |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner | Team Falcons | 1,306 | 49.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$646 | −$9.26 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | Yes | 770 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.39 | −$0.37 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 766 | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$430 | −$213 | |
| Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BIG | 638 | 59.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$377 | −$4.63 | |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | HANJIN BRION | 632 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$177 | −$1.08 | |
| LoL: Barça eSports vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner | Movistar KOI Fénix | 623 | 67.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$419 | −$1.97 | |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | MIBR | 617 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$450 | −$3.51 | |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner | Sentinels | 608 | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | −$1.10 | |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner | Natus Vincere | 607 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61 | $0 | |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner | DN SOOPers | 550 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$270 | $0 | |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 500 | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$202 | −$0.76 | |
| LoL: Barça eSports vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs | Barça eSports | 489 | 46.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$229 | −$3.01 | |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 478 | 11.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54 | +$28 | |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 4 Winner | Fluxo W7M | 416 | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$0.66 | |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | JD Gaming | 400 | 29.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$119 | −$2.51 | |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Lynn Vision | 400 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$164 | −$2.90 | |
| LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner | Solary | 356 | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | TYLOO | 353 | 42.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | −$2.59 | |
| LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner | Movistar KOI Fénix | 338 | 72.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$245 | −$1.46 | |
| Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs | OG | 330 | 44.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$145 | −$2.42 | |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Lynn Vision | 320 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | −$2.29 | |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 318 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$175 | −$0.08 | |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | M80 | 314 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$129 | −$2.27 | |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | No | 306 | 90.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$277 | −$8.09 | |
| Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | Yes | 285 | 72.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$206 | −$2.29 | |
| Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | FlyQuest | 284 | 51.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$147 | −$2.13 | |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | BIG | 274 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$129 | −$2.05 | |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 269 | 93¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | −$0.53 | |
| Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 268 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Sinners | 255 | 50.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$128 | −$1.91 | |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Liquid | 240 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$96 | −$1.73 | |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | ThunderTalk Gaming | 240 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | −$0.76 | |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 240 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$106 | −$1.77 | |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner | Tundra Esports | 240 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Sharks | 240 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$106 | −$1.77 | |
| Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Gaimin Gladiators | 240 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | −$0.97 | |
| Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | TYLOO | 240 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$134 | −$1.77 | |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Sharks | 240 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101 | −$1.75 | |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | Heroic | 240 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$127 | −$1.79 | |
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | GamerLegion | 240 | 46.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$111 | −$0.53 | |
| Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his rally in Oklahoma? | Yes | 218 | 62¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$135 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 15? | Yes | 215 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.43 | −$0.10 | |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during his announcement? | No | 211 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82 | −$0.27 | |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks? | Yes | 208 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | −$2.07 | |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | Team Spirit | 200 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$112 | $0 | |
| Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | BIG | 200 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | −$1.48 | |
| Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 180 | 65.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$119 | +$0.16 | |
| Will Trump say "America First" during Tele-Rally? | Yes | 179 | 34.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19? | Yes | 179 | 38.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$69 | −$37 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6? | Yes | 176 | 98¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$172 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | Yes | 161 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$119 | −$1.24 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 16? | Yes | 160 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.64 | −$0.04 | |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | Yes | 144 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.75 | −$1.90 | |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | No | 137 | 48.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66 | −$1.66 | |
| CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 136 | 77¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$104 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Veteran" during his remarks in Arlington? | Yes | 129 | 86¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$111 | −$0.62 | |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026? | No | 126 | 80.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | −$0.79 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12? | No | 124 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$123 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Crooked" during Speech to the Nation? | Yes | 119 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | −$1.17 | |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York? | No | 116 | 64.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$1.02 | |
| Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference? | Yes | 115 | 47.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54 | −$0.40 | |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | Natus Vincere | 112 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 3 Winner | LOS | 110 | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43 | −$0.37 | |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during remarks in Georgia? | No | 104 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | Yes | 98 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.88 | −$2.33 | |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | No | 91 | 57.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52 | −$0.89 | |
| Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | No | 88 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | +$0.10 | |
| Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ? | No | 83 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | −$0.83 | |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | Yes | 79 | 52.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | −$0.69 | |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 8? | No | 76 | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.67 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17? | Yes | 74 | 54.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | −$0.31 | |