PnL all-time+$40.5kvol $7.12M
PnL 30d−$2,160gains $3,611 · losses $784
PnL 7d−$2,309win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate54.2%adj 54.1% · 30d 20.0%
Open value$22.4kcash n/a
Positions19 / 595open / all-time
Max drawdown−85.5%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 7d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$39.5kbelow peak −$69.7kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 54.2% · shrunk toward 50%35
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d76
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity15
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$17.7kTrump gets more black voters than in 2020? · Yesclosed+$14.0kWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · Yesclosed+$13.6kWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed+$9,091Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Noclosed+$8,328
Worst markets
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yesclosed−$38.8kWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? · Noclosed−$27.3kWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Noclosed−$12.1kWill Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? · Yesclosed−$9,784Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party? · Noclosed−$7,663
Open positions · 19
Recent trades
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