sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,133

immanuelcan

0x04b…79e0
PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$37.8kvol $7.61M
PnL 30d+$22.8kgains $33.4k · losses $253
PnL 7d−$263win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate78.0%adj 77.0% · 30d 56.8%
Open value$31.7kcash n/a
Positions996 / 2,255open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.9%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$41.3kbelow peak −$57.1kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 78.0% · shrunk toward 50%93
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity2

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes9,54550.5¢44.3¢$4,228−$591$0
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No3,41560¢61¢$2,083+$34$0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Yes88790.3¢97.7¢$866+$65+$1.15
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes9,1193¢6.2¢$561+$289$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No59330.5¢90.5¢$537+$356$0
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Yes53392.6¢98.2¢$523+$29$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes55288.6¢92.5¢$510+$21$0
Ramp IPO before 2027?No49981.9¢97.7¢$488+$79+$3.34
Vanta IPO before 2027?No45484.2¢99¢$449+$67−$17
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes1,02027.5¢42.5¢$434+$153$0
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?No41490.9¢98.5¢$407+$31$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?Yes42092¢96.1¢$404+$17$0
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No40183.8¢97.4¢$390+$54−$14
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No39975.6¢96.8¢$386+$84−$13
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Yes41183.1¢92¢$378+$36$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes40390.8¢93.9¢$378+$12$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No39685.5¢93.5¢$370+$32+$2.12
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No34988¢95.9¢$335+$28+$25
Rippling IPO before 2027?No34383.7¢96.5¢$331+$44−$8.82
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes3,2894¢9.8¢$321+$191$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes31491.5¢94.9¢$298+$11$0
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes4301.6¢65¢$279+$272$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,91014.5¢9.5¢$276−$146+$8,582
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?No30386.3¢87.5¢$265+$3.69$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No37261.1¢70.5¢$262+$35−$14
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Yes25492¢98¢$249+$15$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.4k1¢2.4¢$246+$136$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No24873¢98.9¢$245+$64$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes37058¢62.5¢$231+$17−$10
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Yes1,24415¢18.5¢$230+$44$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No23191¢96.1¢$222+$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes30567¢70.5¢$215+$11−$1.76
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?No22691.9¢95.2¢$215+$7.41$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat?Yes22089.1¢96.6¢$212+$17$0
Celonis IPO before 2027?No21384.3¢97.1¢$207+$27+$8.96
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?No22296¢90.1¢$200−$13−$1,881
Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?No20491.8¢98.1¢$200+$13$0
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?No20089.9¢96.2¢$192+$13$0
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No19884.6¢96.8¢$192+$24−$14
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?No17989.7¢98.5¢$176+$16$0
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50039¢34.5¢$173−$23$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?Yes17092.4¢97.8¢$166+$9.08$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-13 House seat?Yes17091¢96.4¢$164+$9.10$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?Yes17093¢96.2¢$164+$5.44$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes17691.1¢92.6¢$162+$2.47$0
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No15984¢98¢$156+$22+$0.63
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes1,06521.8¢14.7¢$156−$76$0
Glean IPO before 2027?No15786.1¢99¢$155+$20$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?Yes18079.7¢86¢$155+$11$0
Deel IPO before 2027?No15373.8¢99.5¢$152+$39−$11
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Yes16274.8¢91.5¢$148+$27$0
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No14386¢99.8¢$143+$20−$1,388
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes6,4402.6¢2.2¢$138−$29$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No14981.4¢89¢$133+$11$0
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No13188.6¢99.5¢$130+$14−$24
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes1,01639.6¢12.5¢$127−$276−$484
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes20464.5¢61.5¢$125−$6.11−$1.29
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6,2982¢2¢$123−$0.64$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?No14284.9¢85.5¢$121+$0.83$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes19681.1¢61.5¢$121−$38−$59
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?No13879.3¢86.5¢$120+$9.96$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?Yes12289¢95.5¢$117+$7.94$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?Yes12092.5¢96.2¢$115+$4.38$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?Yes12582.1¢91¢$113+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes13369¢85¢$113+$21−$11
Brex IPO before 2027?No11389.4¢99.2¢$112+$11+$9.05
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-18 House seat?No12086¢92¢$110+$7.20$0
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No11092¢100¢$110+$8.74$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?Yes13273.5¢82.5¢$109+$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes32430.6¢33.5¢$108+$9.29+$16
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?No11094.3¢98.5¢$108+$4.57$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?Yes11090.5¢98.4¢$108+$8.64$0
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Yes11093¢98.2¢$108+$5.72$0
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes11092¢98.1¢$108+$6.66$0
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?No10793¢99.9¢$107+$7.37$0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Yes11091¢96.8¢$106+$6.33$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?Yes11091.5¢96.1¢$106+$4.96$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Yes11088.4¢95¢$104+$7.14$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Yes11085.7¢91.5¢$101+$6.35$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,0002¢2.5¢$98+$18$0
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Yes10091¢93.5¢$94+$2.50$0
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?No10021¢92.7¢$93+$72$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes24741.6¢36.5¢$90−$13+$12
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?Yes9189¢95.1¢$86+$5.54$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?No8659¢99.3¢$85+$35$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?No8884.9¢95.5¢$84+$9.25$0
Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?No8493¢98.1¢$83+$4.26+$0.14
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?Yes10774¢74.5¢$80+$0.54−$2.64
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?No9087¢87.5¢$79+$0.45$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-26 House seat?Yes8091.3¢95.5¢$76+$3.38$0
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No7585¢98¢$73+$9.71$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes9862.6¢75¢$73+$12−$5.18
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?Yes7491.9¢97.4¢$72+$4.07$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,5002¢1.3¢$69−$41+$38
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes7292¢94.1¢$68+$1.48$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No12062.7¢56.5¢$68−$7.38$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-16 House seat?Yes7093¢95.9¢$67+$2.02$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat?Yes7381.9¢90.5¢$66+$6.33$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No6580.1¢99.6¢$65+$13−$17
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes6692.9¢96.9¢$64+$2.62$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?1.5¢1,026$1578%59
BUY YesWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?50.3¢40$2078%59
BUY YesWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?21.8¢1,065$23278%59
BUY YesWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?30¢150$4578%59
BUY YesWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?29¢2,492$72378%59
BUY YesWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?28¢1,519$42578%59
BUY YesFed rate hike in 2026?92¢7$6.3878%59
BUY NoWill annual inflation be 3.5% in July?84¢4,040$3,39478%59
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1.4¢27.3k$38278%59
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?21.6¢9,841$2,12678%59
BUY Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings59¢5$2.9578%59
BUY New York MetsNew York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds46¢5$2.3078%59
BUY YesWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?68¢5$3.4078%59
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the MI-11 House seat?99¢60$5978%59
BUY NoWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May?48¢291$14078%59
BUY NoWill Core CPI YoY be 2.4% or less in May?99¢8$7.9578%59
BUY NoWill Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?48¢317$15278%59
BUY YesWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?14¢2,524$35378%59
BUY YesWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?27¢3,063$82778%59
BUY NoWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?61¢200$12278%59