| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September? | No | 1,746 | 80.4¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,545 | +$142 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? | No | 1,264 | 74.2¢ | 95¢ | $1,201 | +$263 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | No | 1,248 | 65.7¢ | 63.5¢ | $792 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | Yes | 819 | 70.9¢ | 90.5¢ | $741 | +$161 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,009 | 63.8¢ | 69.5¢ | $701 | +$57 | +$13 | |
| Will the US lose between 0 and 25k jobs in October? | No | 609 | 78.8¢ | 97¢ | $591 | +$111 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | No | 1,106 | 51.7¢ | 51¢ | $564 | −$7.54 | $0 | |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 513 | 84.9¢ | 98.6¢ | $506 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 518 | 80¢ | 86¢ | $446 | +$31 | −$42 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,600 | 21¢ | 27.5¢ | $440 | +$104 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 526 | 65¢ | 81.5¢ | $429 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 464 | 58.4¢ | 86.1¢ | $400 | +$128 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 592 | 41.1¢ | 67.5¢ | $400 | +$156 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September? | No | 453 | 89.1¢ | 87.5¢ | $397 | −$7.07 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? | No | 403 | 66.4¢ | 92.1¢ | $371 | +$103 | $0 | |
| Will Oregon be the closest Governor's race in 2026? | No | 359 | 81.9¢ | 96.5¢ | $347 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 503 | 65.2¢ | 67.5¢ | $340 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | Yes | 720 | 37.6¢ | 44.5¢ | $321 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | Yes | 402 | 39¢ | 79.5¢ | $320 | +$163 | $0 | |
| Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026? | No | 357 | 83¢ | 88.4¢ | $316 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 321 | 88¢ | 95¢ | $305 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% in October? | No | 319 | 87.9¢ | 95.1¢ | $303 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 303 | 90¢ | 99.5¢ | $301 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 421 | 64.3¢ | 68.5¢ | $289 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 1,134 | 29.4¢ | 25¢ | $283 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections? | No | 1,009 | 32.9¢ | 27.5¢ | $277 | −$54 | +$16 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | No | 480 | 67.6¢ | 57.5¢ | $276 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | No | 410 | 65.4¢ | 66.5¢ | $272 | +$4.51 | $0 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 475 | 41.6¢ | 56.5¢ | $268 | +$71 | +$30 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 352 | 53.9¢ | 74.5¢ | $262 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho? | Yes | 449 | 38.4¢ | 57.5¢ | $258 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Yes | 749 | 43.7¢ | 32.5¢ | $243 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | No | 302 | 91¢ | 80.1¢ | $242 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 924 | 22¢ | 26¢ | $240 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 237 | 69¢ | 93.7¢ | $222 | +$58 | −$14 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? | No | 244 | 80.9¢ | 85.5¢ | $209 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat? | No | 250 | 84¢ | 82.5¢ | $206 | −$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 200 | 76.9¢ | 94¢ | $188 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will “Ain't in It for My Health” by Zach Top win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 205 | 85.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $188 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 238 | 60¢ | 77.4¢ | $184 | +$41 | −$7.17 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September? | No | 180 | 80.6¢ | 98.2¢ | $177 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 193 | 67¢ | 90.9¢ | $176 | +$46 | −$0.89 | |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1,298 | 27.7¢ | 13.5¢ | $175 | −$184 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | No | 197 | 94.1¢ | 86.5¢ | $170 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | No | 197 | 74.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $169 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 202 | 57.3¢ | 81.9¢ | $165 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | No | 200 | 38.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $165 | +$88 | $0 | |
| Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? | No | 202 | 81.7¢ | 80¢ | $161 | −$3.44 | $0 | |
| Will Trump Airport become law this year? | No | 152 | 88.4¢ | 97.6¢ | $148 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 400 | 48¢ | 36.5¢ | $146 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | Yes | 300 | 49.3¢ | 48.5¢ | $145 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will “Horses and Divorces” by Kacey Musgraves featuring Miranda Lambert win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 163 | 84¢ | 87.5¢ | $143 | +$5.71 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | No | 417 | 41.9¢ | 33.5¢ | $140 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | Yes | 181 | 64¢ | 75.5¢ | $136 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October? | No | 200 | 72¢ | 68¢ | $136 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 335 | 19.9¢ | 40.5¢ | $136 | +$69 | +$14 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | No | 253 | 41.2¢ | 53.5¢ | $135 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 321 | 30¢ | 41¢ | $131 | +$35 | $0 | |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | No | 144 | 22¢ | 90¢ | $130 | +$98 | +$1.12 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000? | No | 202 | 52.8¢ | 64¢ | $129 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 954 | 32.2¢ | 13.5¢ | $129 | −$178 | +$17 | |
| Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 128 | 91.9¢ | 99.4¢ | $127 | +$9.60 | $0 | |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 186 | 60.3¢ | 67.5¢ | $126 | +$13 | −$95 | |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 218 | 54.9¢ | 55.5¢ | $121 | +$1.22 | $0 | |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | No | 492 | 36.2¢ | 24.5¢ | $121 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | Yes | 242 | 48.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $118 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | Yes | 510 | 23.3¢ | 23¢ | $117 | −$1.33 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 163 | 69.6¢ | 67.5¢ | $110 | −$3.43 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? | No | 112 | 94.1¢ | 97¢ | $108 | +$3.23 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 141 | 13.3¢ | 75.5¢ | $106 | +$88 | −$3.14 | |
| Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 120 | 74¢ | 88.5¢ | $106 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 126 | 64.4¢ | 83.5¢ | $105 | +$24 | −$15 | |
| Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 104 | 65¢ | 99.8¢ | $104 | +$36 | +$9.38 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | No | 288 | 40.5¢ | 35¢ | $101 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 320 | 27¢ | 31.5¢ | $101 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Alex R. Hibbert be the live-action Miles Morales? | No | 125 | 77.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $100 | +$4.06 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | No | 116 | 86.5¢ | 86.3¢ | $100 | −$0.24 | $0 | |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? | Yes | 117 | 88.4¢ | 84.1¢ | $99 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election? | Yes | 430 | 19¢ | 22.5¢ | $97 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | No | 166 | 55.3¢ | 58¢ | $96 | +$4.40 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 448 | 27.2¢ | 21¢ | $94 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | Yes | 178 | 23.6¢ | 53¢ | $94 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30? | No | 109 | 84.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $93 | +$0.77 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more? | No | 116 | 78¢ | 77.5¢ | $90 | −$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 90 | 70.6¢ | 97.9¢ | $88 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 614 | 10.4¢ | 14.1¢ | $87 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000? | No | 106 | 86.1¢ | 80¢ | $84 | −$6.44 | −$11 | |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 134 | 61¢ | 62.5¢ | $84 | +$2.01 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September? | No | 83 | 94¢ | 99.8¢ | $83 | +$4.79 | $0 | |
| Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 87 | 89.7¢ | 94.7¢ | $82 | +$4.32 | $0 | |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 205 | 54.5¢ | 40¢ | $82 | −$30 | −$8.51 | |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 444 | 21.4¢ | 18.5¢ | $82 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 243 | 16¢ | 33.5¢ | $81 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026? | No | 109 | 80¢ | 73.5¢ | $80 | −$7.08 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 840 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | $80 | −$13 | +$69 | |
| Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 88 | 73.5¢ | 90¢ | $79 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October? | No | 80 | 87¢ | 96.5¢ | $77 | +$7.58 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat? | Yes | 92 | 83¢ | 83¢ | $76 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 185 | 48.6¢ | 40¢ | $74 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 146 | 48¢ | 50.5¢ | $74 | +$3.64 | $0 | |