sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

0x052…1479

0x052…1479
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCryptoWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,986vol $795k
PnL 30d+$161gains $283 · losses $178
PnL 7d+$94win rate 7d 81.5%
Win rate90.8%adj 89.2% · 30d 90.8%
Open value$3,955cash n/a
Positions43 / 10,607open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,896below peak −$3,404Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 90.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026? · Yesclosed+$142Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$126Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner · TEAM VISIONclosed+$46Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISIONclosed+$45Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$37

Worst markets

Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026? · Yesclosed−$64Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$59Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Noclosed−$50Will there be at least 2800 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$47Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31? · Noclosed−$41

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes52291.3¢90.5¢$473−$4.16$0
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No38292.9¢92.3¢$352−$2.46+$1.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes40071.6¢67¢$268−$19$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No25195.4¢95.6¢$240+$0.49$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes29567.1¢75.5¢$223+$25$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?No20688¢99.4¢$205+$23$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No20098.8¢99¢$198+$0.30$0
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No22087.1¢83¢$183−$9.07$0
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No17194.7¢99¢$169+$7.30−$13
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No14092.7¢94.6¢$132+$2.58+$15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No11293.6¢93.5¢$105−$0.07$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No10591.5¢98.4¢$103+$7.22$0
Will there be at least 4100 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes9899.7¢99.7¢$98$0$0
Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?No10095.7¢95.2¢$95−$0.59$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No10087¢93.5¢$94+$6.50$0
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?No9089.7¢96.9¢$87+$6.39$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No9390.6¢93.7¢$87+$2.85$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No9089.7¢92.5¢$83+$2.55$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10086¢82.5¢$83−$3.50$0
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No6592.5¢98.1¢$64+$3.67$0
Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?No6185.7¢94¢$57+$5.05$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by October 31, 2026?Yes5599.9¢98.8¢$54−$0.60$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No5083.2¢96.6¢$48+$6.67$0
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?No5093.7¢96¢$48+$1.16$0
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes12668.1¢34.5¢$43−$42−$17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No4091.5¢95.7¢$38+$1.68$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No3589¢89.5¢$31+$0.17$0
Will there be at least 4200 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Yes3099.7¢99.7¢$30−$0.01$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes4570.4¢65.5¢$29−$2.22$0
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes3286.5¢88.8¢$28+$0.73$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No3080.3¢86.5¢$26+$1.85$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No2568¢79.5¢$20+$2.88$0
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No2192.5¢91¢$19−$0.31$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?No2074¢94¢$19+$4.00$0
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?No2080.3¢91.5¢$18+$2.25$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No2088¢90¢$18+$0.40$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No2087¢87.5¢$18+$0.10$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?Yes2096¢80.5¢$16−$3.10$0
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No2071¢79¢$16+$1.60$0
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES3199.9¢49.6¢$15−$16$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1093¢90.5¢$9.05−$0.25$0
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberNothing993¢93¢$8.00$0$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?No572¢97.5¢$4.88+$1.27$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?96.2¢20$1991%46
BUY NoWill a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?98¢5$5.0091%46
BUY YesWill there be at least 4200 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?99.7¢30$3091%46
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?44.2¢65$2991%46
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?65¢220$14391%46
BUY NoTrump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?99¢19$1991%46
BUY YesWill there be at least 4100 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?99.7¢98$9891%46
BUY NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?98.8¢200$19891%46
BUY NoTrump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?93.4¢100$9391%46
SELL YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?65¢85$5591%46
SELL YesWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?79¢104$8291%46
BUY NoTrump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?92¢20$1891%46
BUY NoWill there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?92.8¢10$9.2891%46
BUY NoWill there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?92.7¢130$12191%46
BUY NoWill there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?84¢40$3491%46
BUY NoWill there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?71¢20$1491%46
BUY NoTrump declassifies new UFO files by October 15?92¢10$9.2091%46
BUY NoWill there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?87¢41$3591%46
BUY YesWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?99.9¢15$1591%46
BUY NoWill the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.9¢40$4091%46