| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 11.5k | 77.9¢ | 95¢ | $10.9k | +$1,957 | +$29 | |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | No | 8,385 | 65.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $8,063 | +$2,537 | +$596 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 6,173 | 77.7¢ | 83.5¢ | $5,154 | +$356 | +$7.00 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 4,053 | 66¢ | 79.5¢ | $3,222 | +$546 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,854 | 51.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $2,554 | +$1,079 | −$1,450 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 3,003 | 73.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $2,538 | +$325 | −$80 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,269 | 62.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $2,501 | +$457 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,138 | 84.4¢ | 97.4¢ | $2,081 | +$278 | +$0.40 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 2,226 | 88¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,970 | +$12 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 2,330 | 84.4¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,969 | +$2.47 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,908 | 58.2¢ | 91.9¢ | $1,752 | +$642 | −$3,288 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,943 | 73.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,642 | +$218 | $0 | |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | No | 1,531 | 83.5¢ | 99.4¢ | $1,521 | +$243 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,712 | 67.3¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,481 | +$328 | $0 | |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 1,448 | 74.7¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,354 | +$273 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,166 | 74.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,113 | +$247 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,111 | 82.8¢ | 92¢ | $1,021 | +$101 | −$0.61 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,300 | 72.4¢ | 75.5¢ | $981 | +$41 | $0 | |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 1,293 | 63.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $950 | +$133 | +$58 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1,000 | 84.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | +$96 | $0 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | No | 980 | 88.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $906 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,163 | 53.9¢ | 75.5¢ | $878 | +$251 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 791 | 50.8¢ | 89¢ | $704 | +$302 | $0 | |
| Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31? | No | 747 | 94.3¢ | 93.7¢ | $700 | −$4.42 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 728 | 77.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $688 | +$127 | $0 | |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 700 | 89.6¢ | 93.8¢ | $657 | +$30 | +$51 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 2,042 | 92.5¢ | 30.3¢ | $619 | −$1,269 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 600 | 92.7¢ | 95.5¢ | $573 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 600 | 92.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $567 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 569 | 67.2¢ | 90¢ | $512 | +$130 | $0 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 621 | 72.7¢ | 74.5¢ | $463 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 91.2¢ | 92¢ | $460 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 368 | 69.1¢ | 96.7¢ | $355 | +$101 | +$700 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 370 | 71.2¢ | 92.5¢ | $342 | +$79 | −$1,010 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | No | 355 | 24.6¢ | 86.5¢ | $307 | +$220 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 79.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $284 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | No | 293 | 90.8¢ | 90.6¢ | $265 | −$0.67 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 433 | 38.4¢ | 60¢ | $260 | +$93 | $0 | |
| Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026? | No | 236 | 70.6¢ | 95.7¢ | $226 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | No | 304 | 76.4¢ | 73.5¢ | $224 | −$8.88 | $0 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 206 | 86.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $195 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: October | Nothing | 200 | 89.6¢ | 94¢ | $188 | +$8.70 | $0 | |
| US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31? | No | 175 | 83¢ | 95¢ | $166 | +$21 | $0 | |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? | No | 167 | 81.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $158 | +$22 | $0 | |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? | No | 160 | 94.9¢ | 95.6¢ | $153 | +$1.06 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by December 31, 2026? | No | 161 | 89.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $151 | +$7.04 | $0 | |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? | No | 400 | 46.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $150 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? | Yes | 184 | 73.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $146 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | No | 286 | 82.4¢ | 50.5¢ | $144 | −$91 | $0 | |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 645 | 61.2¢ | 18.5¢ | $119 | −$275 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | No | 126 | 78.7¢ | 88¢ | $111 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | No | 219 | 48¢ | 48¢ | $105 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 89¢ | 95.5¢ | $96 | +$6.50 | −$2,032 | |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 54¢ | 90¢ | $90 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 71 | 76.2¢ | 97.1¢ | $69 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,635 | 6.5¢ | 3.6¢ | $58 | −$48 | −$881 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 461 | 54.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $58 | −$194 | $0 | |
| Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026? | No | 45 | 94¢ | 98.3¢ | $45 | +$1.95 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 47 | 77.6¢ | 92.5¢ | $44 | +$7.09 | $0 | |
| Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026? | No | 45 | 63.9¢ | 96.1¢ | $43 | +$14 | +$3.83 | |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | No | 38 | 64.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $36 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: September | Nothing | 36 | 95¢ | 99.3¢ | $35 | +$1.51 | $0 | |
| US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31? | No | 41 | 81.1¢ | 82¢ | $34 | +$0.37 | $0 | |
| Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? | No | 30 | 76.9¢ | 86¢ | $26 | +$2.73 | +$1.31 | |
| Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? | No | 26 | 78.7¢ | 96.5¢ | $25 | +$4.62 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 20 | 31¢ | 79.5¢ | $16 | +$9.70 | $0 | |
| Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 4 | 75¢ | 93.9¢ | $3.76 | +$0.76 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 50¢ | 10¢ | $2.00 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | No | 7,928 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$4,516 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,271 | 11.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$373 | −$0.29 | |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 759 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.12 | −$55 | |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | Yes | 594 | 25.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | Yes | 578 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | No | 300 | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 213 | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | +$27 | |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31? | No | 195 | 68.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$133 | −$0.31 | |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | No | 100 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.00 | |
| Will "Hormuz" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | Yes | 100 | 67.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | −$0.07 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | No | 100 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74 | −$1.35 | |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? | No | 70 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | −$5.47 | |
| Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20? | Yes | 70 | 37.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17? | No | 59 | 69.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20? | No | 50 | 78.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "401k" during events in Rockland County? | No | 45 | 44.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.44 | |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during events in Rockland County? | Yes | 37 | 54¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | −$0.37 | |
| Will "SpaceX" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | Yes | 30 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.60 | $0 | |