sharpside
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BMP03

0x05a…1e0d
PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,653vol $750k
PnL 30d−$10gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.07win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.2%adj 47.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,124cash n/a
Positions21 / 75open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 4mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,658below peak −$860Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 46.2% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?No89242.8¢100¢$892+$510$0
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No10077¢100¢$100+$23$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes24920.1¢19.7¢$49−$1.08$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No4491¢93.7¢$41+$1.16$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No2485¢93.5¢$22+$2.00$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No1092.2¢98.5¢$9.85+$0.63$0
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?No1087¢94¢$9.40+$0.70$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No37.2k0.3¢0¢$0−$121$0
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes44922.3¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes1140.9¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes1110.9¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes1110.9¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes1119¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes1021¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes921.1¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No717¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No6316¢0¢$0−$10$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes4313.8¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Hawks vs. RaptorsHawks1038¢0¢$0−$3.80$0
Timberwolves vs. HeatHeat1044¢0¢$0−$4.40$0
U.S. strike on Nigeria by December 31, 2025?Yes428¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?43.5¢189$8246%37
BUY NoWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?42.6¢704$30046%37
BUY NoWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?16¢63$1046%37
BUY NoWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?7¢71$5.0046%37
BUY YesKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?9¢111$1046%37
SELL SpursNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves 76¢70$5446%37
BUY NoClavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?87¢10$8.7046%37
BUY NoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?92.2¢10$9.2246%37
BUY YesWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?1.5¢667$1046%37
BUY SpursNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves 71¢70$5046%37
BUY NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?91¢44$4046%37
BUY YesWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?20.1¢249$5046%37
BUY NoWill GameStop acquire eBay?85¢24$2046%37
BUY Sean StricklandUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)19¢263$5046%37
BUY YesU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?22.3¢449$10046%37
SELL YesIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?10.6¢48$5.0646%37
SELL YesWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?1.9¢58$1.1146%37
SELL YesWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?1.8¢495$8.9146%37
SELL YesWill the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?3.3¢25$0.8346%37
SELL YesUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?21¢1,624$34146%37