PnL all-time−$8,335vol $1.27M
PnL 30d−$1,740gains $2,757 · losses $6,464
PnL 7d+$290win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate53.0%adj 52.9% · 30d 57.5%
Open value$2,531cash n/a
Positions8 / 2,472open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 1h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$6,381below peak −$7,212Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 53.0% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,647China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yesclosed+$1,230France vs. England: Team to Win · Englandclosed+$1,212U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Noclosed+$1,043Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? · Yesclosed+$942
Worst markets
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner · JD Gamingclosed−$1,810Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,403Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$1,122Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$910Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? · Yesclosed−$682
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,995 | 45.3¢ | 69.5¢ | $1,387 | +$484 | +$7.55 | |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? | No | 458 | 64¢ | 77.5¢ | $355 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 391 | 58.4¢ | 69.5¢ | $271 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026? | No | 279 | 67.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $241 | +$53 | +$11 | |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026? | No | 250 | 71.5¢ | 77.5¢ | $194 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30? | No | 41 | 79¢ | 99.1¢ | $41 | +$8.20 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22? | No | 60 | 55¢ | 49.5¢ | $30 | −$3.30 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20? | No | 15 | 64¢ | 85¢ | $12 | +$3.06 | $0 |
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