PnL all-time+$412kvol $10.2M
PnL 30d+$3,814gains $7,782 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,204win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.7%adj 61.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$106kcash n/a
Positions4 / 129open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.3%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$414kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale80
Adjusted win rateraw 63.7% · shrunk toward 50%54
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$91.4kWill Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election? · Noclosed−$35.1kYoon out as president of South Korea before April? · Yesclosed−$31.5kWill Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%? · Noclosed−$24.6kKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$22.9k
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 65.3k | 94¢ | 94.5¢ | $61.7k | +$327 | +$11.8k | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 27.9k | 84.2¢ | 88.5¢ | $24.7k | +$1,207 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 21.8k | 83.9¢ | 87.7¢ | $19.1k | +$828 | +$96 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | 64.1¢ | 85.6¢ | $86 | +$21 | $0 |
Recent trades
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