| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 400k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $321k | +$121k | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 97.0k | 84¢ | 84.5¢ | $82.0k | +$485 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 400k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $79.4k | −$121k | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 30.0k | 99.3¢ | 99.6¢ | $29.9k | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 17.9k | 69.7¢ | 87.7¢ | $15.7k | +$3,221 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.0k | 61¢ | 83.5¢ | $12.5k | +$3,366 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 13.9k | 45.7¢ | 63.5¢ | $8,811 | +$2,466 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 6,856 | 54.6¢ | 77.5¢ | $5,314 | +$1,573 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 93.7k | 13.6¢ | 4.9¢ | $4,590 | −$8,113 | +$11.9k | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 4,812 | 70.5¢ | 82.5¢ | $3,970 | +$578 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 4,943 | 23.8¢ | 76.5¢ | $3,782 | +$2,605 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 6,000 | 72¢ | 57.5¢ | $3,450 | −$870 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 7,695 | 39¢ | 41.5¢ | $3,194 | +$192 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 2,623 | 74.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $2,584 | +$638 | $0 | |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 21.1k | 11¢ | 8.1¢ | $1,706 | −$611 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 2,861 | 50¢ | 36.5¢ | $1,044 | −$386 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 279k | 8.3¢ | 0.4¢ | $978 | −$22.2k | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,013 | 46¢ | 94.5¢ | $957 | +$491 | $0 | |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1,015 | 29¢ | 80.5¢ | $817 | +$523 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 4,578 | 33.8¢ | 11.5¢ | $527 | −$1,019 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 109k | 20¢ | 0.5¢ | $492 | −$21.4k | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes | 6,041 | 9¢ | 6.5¢ | $393 | −$151 | $0 | |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 4,335 | 20.3¢ | 6.2¢ | $267 | −$615 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 109k | 20¢ | 0.2¢ | $164 | −$21.7k | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 9,326 | 6¢ | 1.7¢ | $154 | −$406 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 70 | 9¢ | 22.5¢ | $16 | +$9.50 | $0 | |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,175 | 0.3¢ | 0.7¢ | $8.23 | +$4.75 | $0 | |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 6 | 9¢ | 22.5¢ | $1.32 | +$0.79 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 559k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 280k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 275k | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,961 | −$9.76 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | Yes | 261k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 210k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 203k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 138k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 137k | 19.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26.3k | +$26.3k | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 107k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Yes | 87.8k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | 80.3k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs | Team Yandex | 79.3k | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25.0k | −$66 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Yes | 66.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 66.3k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | Natus Vincere | 55.0k | 62.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34.4k | +$1,669 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | Yes | 52.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | No | 51.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | Yes | 48.6k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 48.2k | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,411 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 45.8k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | Yes | 45.0k | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$720 | $0 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 44.5k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | No | 44.3k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | No | 43.5k | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22.2k | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 42.2k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | No | 40.9k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026? | No | 40.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| 49ers vs. Raiders | Raiders | 39.1k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19.6k | −$489 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | 34.6k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.2k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27? | Yes | 33.2k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | Yes | 29.2k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | No | 26.7k | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,086 | $0 | |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | No | 26.1k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | Yes | 24.6k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 24.0k | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,587 | −$438 | |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | Team Falcons | 23.0k | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.3k | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 20.5k | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$752 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | Yes | 20.5k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7? | Up | 20.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | Iron Wing | 20.0k | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,400 | $0 | |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | No | 18.4k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 17.4k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? | Yes | 16.9k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 16.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.2k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | Yes | 16.2k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Yes | 15.9k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 15.6k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | No | 14.4k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | No | 13.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | No | 13.4k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | Yes | 13.0k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | No | 12.7k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.5k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | Belgium | 11.2k | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 10.1k | 11.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,194 | $0 | |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 9,747 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,679 | $0 | |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | TEAM VISION | 8,771 | 56.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,921 | −$10.1k | |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? | Yes | 8,371 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 8,203 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | No | 8,020 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 6,294 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 6,000 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 5,903 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 5,819 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | Yes | 4,922 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$266 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 4,597 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 4,348 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%? | Yes | 4,211 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 3,754 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103 | −$4.02 | |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 3,221 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,481 | −$40 | |