| Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 983 | 3.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.49 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on October 10? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 1.8¢ | $0.36 | −$1.46 | $0 | |
| Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 717 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.36 | −$12 | −$0.16 | |
| Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 606 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$6.51 | $0 | |
| Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 606 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$6.51 | $0 | |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 606 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$6.51 | $0 | |
| Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 606 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$6.51 | $0 | |
| Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 606 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$6.51 | $0 | |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 606 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$6.51 | $0 | |
| Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 606 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$6.51 | $0 | |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 601 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$6.46 | $0 | |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 596 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.30 | −$6.40 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 476 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.24 | −$95 | $0 | |
| Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 470 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.23 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 470 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.23 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 470 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.23 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 470 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.23 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 470 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.23 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 470 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.23 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 462 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.23 | −$12 | −$0.20 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 461 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.23 | −$92 | −$2.99 | |
| Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 450 | 2.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$12 | −$0.51 | |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.20 | −$6.94 | $0 | |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.20 | −$6.94 | $0 | |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.20 | −$6.94 | $0 | |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.20 | −$6.94 | $0 | |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.20 | −$6.94 | $0 | |
| Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 275 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.14 | −$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 275 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.14 | −$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 275 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.14 | −$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 275 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.14 | −$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 275 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.14 | −$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 275 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.14 | −$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 275 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.14 | −$6.74 | $0 | |
| Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 240 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.12 | −$5.88 | $0 | |
| Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 240 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.12 | −$5.88 | $0 | |
| Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 240 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.12 | −$5.88 | $0 | |
| Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 200 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.10 | −$5.03 | $0 | |
| Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 200 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.10 | −$5.03 | $0 | |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 200 | 2.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.10 | −$5.03 | $0 | |
| Will Nicholas Brendon be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.4¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.10 | −$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.10 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on October 10? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.10 | −$1.72 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on October 10? | Yes | 20 | 9.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.10 | −$1.72 | $0 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.10 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 180 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$6.34 | −$0.17 | |
| Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 178 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.64 | $0 | |
| Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 173 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.43 | $0 | |
| Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 173 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.43 | $0 | |
| Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | 173 | 4.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.42 | −$0.22 | |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.08 | −$0.44 | −$0.09 | |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 17 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.08 | −$0.44 | −$0.09 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 160 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$32 | −$57 | |
| Will Ted Turner be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.08 | −$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will Robert Duvall be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 40 | 1.4¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.08 | −$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 155 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.23 | $0 | |
| Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 155 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.23 | $0 | |
| Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 155 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.23 | $0 | |
| Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 155 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.23 | $0 | |
| Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 155 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.23 | $0 | |
| Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 155 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$4.23 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31? | Yes | 155 | 14.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.08 | −$22 | −$1.41 | |
| Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 150 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 150 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 150 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 150 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 150 | 3.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$5.10 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31? | Yes | 145 | 14.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$21 | −$1.40 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 145 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$29 | −$1.00 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31? | Yes | 145 | 14.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$21 | −$2.09 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 140 | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$28 | −$1.99 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | Yes | 131 | 11.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$14 | −$0.54 | |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 123 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.46 | $0 | |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 123 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.46 | $0 | |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 123 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.46 | $0 | |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 123 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.46 | $0 | |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 123 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.46 | $0 | |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 123 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.46 | $0 | |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 123 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.46 | $0 | |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 123 | 2.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$3.46 | $0 | |
| Will an independent win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 120 | 7.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$9.20 | $0 | |
| Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 120 | 2.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$2.94 | −$2.88 | |