PnL all-time+$340kvol $26.7M
PnL 30d−$23gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$34win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate29.9%adj 30.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$560cash n/a
Positions5 / 1,281open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.8%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 9mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$342kbelow peak −$7,505Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 29.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? · Yesclosed+$136kWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? · Yesclosed+$76.3kWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? · Yesclosed+$67.5kWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? · Yesclosed+$31.1kWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? · Yesclosed+$28.3k
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025? · Yesclosed−$15.9kWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? · Yesclosed−$12.5kWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? · Yesclosed−$10.9kWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? · Yesclosed−$10.7kWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? · Yesclosed−$10.6k
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1,000 | 45¢ | 51.5¢ | $515 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 35¢ | 4.6¢ | $46 | −$305 | $0 | |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 4,629 | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$867 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | No | 2,310 | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$731 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,154 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$138 | $0 |
Recent trades
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