PnL all-time+$163kvol $3.23M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.4%adj 65.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$150kcash n/a
Positions2 / 143open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.5%of equity peak
Account age5.1ylast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$163kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 67.4% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$45.2kWill ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates? · Yesclosed+$31.8kWill Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? · Simionclosed+$19.9kWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yesclosed+$11.1kWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$10.8k
Worst markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$45.2kWill Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%? · Noclosed−$5,464Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yesclosed−$2,423Will Biden pardon SBF? · Yesclosed−$1,889Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska? · Floridaclosed−$1,770
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 150k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $120k | +$45.2k | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 150k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $29.8k | −$45.2k | $0 |
Recent trades
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