PnL all-time−$94vol $238k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 47.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$155cash n/a
Positions11 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.3%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$94below peak −$3.27Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | Yes | 148 | 81.2¢ | 100¢ | $148 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Circle IPO in 2025? | Yes | 2 | 65¢ | 100¢ | $1.54 | +$0.54 | $0 | |
| Lions vs. 49ers | Lions | 1 | 67¢ | 100¢ | $1.49 | +$0.49 | $0 | |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? | No | 1 | 76¢ | 100¢ | $1.32 | +$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March? | No | 1 | 78¢ | 100¢ | $1.28 | +$0.28 | $0 | |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | No | 1 | 81¢ | 100¢ | $1.23 | +$0.23 | $0 | |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | Yes | 312 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 13 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days? | Yes | 4 | 23¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| East coast port strike in January? | Yes | 3 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| 2025 January hottest on record? | No | 2 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s