sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,158

loewesan

0x06a…ee5c@RationalBeard
WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,311vol $519k
PnL 30d+$1,574gains $2,510 · losses $62
PnL 7d+$1,039win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate68.1%adj 64.9% · 30d 92.3%
Open value$17.6kcash n/a
Positions27 / 119open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.4%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$8,064below peak −$186Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 68.1% · shrunk toward 50%62
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 27

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Trump out as President before 2027?No4,50095.8¢95.9¢$4,313+$0.22+$123
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes3,70083.9¢87.5¢$3,238+$133+$116
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No3,32287.7¢94.5¢$3,139+$226+$88
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No2,73587.4¢95.5¢$2,612+$222+$75
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No1,82487.4¢94.7¢$1,727+$131+$114
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,30095.7¢97.2¢$1,263+$18+$338
US military draft authorized in 2026?No67495.2¢96.5¢$650+$8.88+$346
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No1,04343.3¢20.5¢$214−$238+$364
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo10089.4¢91.5¢$92+$2.09+$108
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10066.6¢88.6¢$89+$22+$1,180
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?No7190.4¢93.7¢$66+$2.31$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No3094.5¢98.2¢$29+$1.10+$553
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No2084.1¢98¢$20+$2.77+$20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No2081.4¢97¢$19+$3.10−$27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No2083.1¢96.8¢$19+$2.75+$21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No2080¢95.5¢$19+$3.10$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2082.1¢71.6¢$14−$2.11−$580
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1092¢97.8¢$9.78+$0.57$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No1089¢96.4¢$9.63+$0.73$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No1076.7¢94¢$9.39+$1.73$0
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No1080¢91.5¢$9.16+$1.15+$52
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes4011.8¢11¢$4.40−$0.32+$5.75
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No194.6¢99.1¢$0.99+$0.04−$0.49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes530.8¢16.5¢$0.83−$0.71−$519
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes17010¢0¢$0−$17+$46
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No2078.6¢0¢$0−$16+$10
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No2014¢0¢$0−$2.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?95.6¢2,400$2,29468%64
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House91¢4,200$3,82268%64
SELL NoWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?97.7¢250$24468%64
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82.3¢160$13268%64
BUY YesWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?11¢35$3.8168%64
BUY YesWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?14¢20$2.8068%64
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?28¢40$1168%64
BUY NoDutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?91.5¢20$1868%64
SELL YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?44.8¢2,030$90968%64
BUY YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?84.1¢483$40668%64
BUY NoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?24¢600$14468%64
SELL NoKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?41¢20$8.2068%64
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?92¢500$46068%64
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?92¢500$46068%64
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?92¢1,000$92068%64
BUY NoAndrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?95¢30$2968%64
BUY NoRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?48¢30$1468%64
BUY NoWill Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?88¢600$52868%64
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?91¢900$81968%64
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House85¢20$1768%64