PnL all-time−$24.5kvol $981k
PnL 30d−$4,351gains $5,117 · losses $9,390
PnL 7d+$259win rate 7d 91.7%
Win rate71.9%adj 71.0% · 30d 71.6%
Open value$11cash n/a
Positions2 / 589open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$23.4kbelow peak −$28.0kOct 12
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.9% · shrunk toward 50%78
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27? · Noclosed+$980Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24? · Noclosed+$954Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7? · Noclosed+$800Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026? · Yesclosed+$724Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22? · Yesclosed+$718
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10? · Noclosed−$5,416Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10? · Yesclosed−$3,463Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? · Noclosed−$3,056Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25? · Noclosed−$2,860Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? · Noclosed−$2,289
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12? | Yes | 11 | 99.3¢ | 99.8¢ | $11 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 3? | No | 155 | 42.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66 | −$188 |
Recent trades
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