PnL all-time+$408kvol $10.6M
PnL 30d+$34.2kgains $155k · losses $66.6k
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate71.0%adj 67.3% · 30d 25.0%
Open value$481kcash n/a
Positions5 / 112open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.8%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 22d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$410kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale80
Adjusted win rateraw 71.0% · shrunk toward 50%68
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d26
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$223kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$165kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$155kWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noopen+$154kNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$120k
Worst markets
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$154kFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$107kFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$106kWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$64.2kFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$51.6k
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 481k | 50¢ | 82.1¢ | $394k | +$154k | $0 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 481k | 50¢ | 18¢ | $86.3k | −$154k | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 128 | 50¢ | 82.2¢ | $105 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 128 | 50¢ | 17.8¢ | $23 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday? | No | 103 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | +$1.00 |
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