sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,385

OnlyInGodWeTrust

0x078…ecb4
CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$232vol $358k
PnL 30d+$301gains $1,017 · losses $991
PnL 7d+$485win rate 7d 60.0%
Win rate52.8%adj 52.7% · 30d 54.5%
Open value$1,778cash n/a
Positions18 / 640open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$128below peak −$4,636Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.8% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No87556.7¢62.5¢$547+$51+$93
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No1,82019.5¢13.5¢$246−$110−$8.41
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Yes91429.5¢25.5¢$233−$37$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No23186¢89.5¢$207+$8.10+$7.50
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No16080.3¢83.5¢$134+$5.19$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No20071.7¢58.3¢$117−$27$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No10494.7¢97.7¢$102+$3.14+$18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No30729.3¢24¢$74−$16$0
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes6827¢31.5¢$22+$3.08$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No2278¢89¢$19+$2.37+$9.41
Iran leadership change by November 30?Yes3339¢5.5¢$18−$12$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes5568.4¢2.9¢$16−$31$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2136.5¢34.5¢$7.18−$0.42−$17
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Yes1012¢7.5¢$0.75−$0.45$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No4003.8¢0¢$0−$15$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?No2677.9¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?Yes8015¢0¢$0−$12−$0.51
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?No3444.5¢0¢$0−$15−$0.33

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?63¢70$4453%36
BUY YesIsraeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?8¢60$4.8053%36
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?83.6¢110$9253%36
BUY YesWill Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?39¢40$1653%36
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?36¢10$3.6053%36
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?29.3¢307$9053%36
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?4¢345$1453%36
BUY NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?63¢130$8253%36
SELL NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?62¢445$27653%36
SELL NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?97.8¢313$30653%36
SELL NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?62¢420$26053%36
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.6¢352$30153%36
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.6¢350$30053%36
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.6¢300$25753%36
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.5¢230$19753%36
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.7¢110$9453%36
SELL YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?12¢200$2453%36
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?18¢20$3.6053%36
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?8¢290$2353%36
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?7¢55$3.8553%36