PnL all-time+$406vol $191k
PnL 30d+$1,480gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$142win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 56.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$120kcash n/a
Positions5 / 8open / all-time
Max drawdown−38.4%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$10.9kbelow peak −$320Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable30
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d85
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 61.8k | 92.5¢ | 96.9¢ | $59.9k | +$2,732 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 58.2k | 84¢ | 97.1¢ | $56.5k | +$7,592 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,842 | 75.7¢ | 76.5¢ | $2,939 | +$29 | $0 | |
| USD0 depeg by December 31? | No | 319 | 93.9¢ | 94¢ | $300 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Up | 100 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | 75.7¢ | 3,842 | $2,910 | 100% | 26 | |||
| BUY No | USD0 depeg by December 31? | 93.9¢ | 319 | $300 | 100% | 26 | |||
| BUY No | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 92.5¢ | 61.2k | $56.6k | 100% | 26 | Whale | ||
| BUY Yes | Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | 96.8¢ | 3,084 | $2,986 | 100% | 26 | |||
| BUY No | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 91.7¢ | 100 | $92 | 100% | 26 | |||
| BUY No | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 84¢ | 58.2k | $48.9k | 100% | 26 | Whale | ||
| BUY No | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | 99.7¢ | 60.2k | $60.0k | 100% | 26 | Whale |