sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

CP-directional

0x07e…27af
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,247vol $521k
PnL 30d+$4,314gains $1,979 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$118win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate95.0%adj 89.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$84.9kcash n/a
Positions27 / 167open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$501below peak −$3,625Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 95.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d80
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 27

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No15.6k92.9¢94.5¢$14.7k+$250$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No8,30296.7¢97.8¢$8,115+$88+$8.40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No9,76085¢82.5¢$8,052−$245−$0.85
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No5,31994¢93.5¢$4,973−$27$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No4,82795.3¢95.5¢$4,610+$9.91+$5.13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No4,84193.4¢94¢$4,551+$31$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No4,64295.3¢96.8¢$4,493+$68$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No4,52695.1¢96.6¢$4,372+$69$0
Modi out by December 31, 2026?No4,57993.1¢95.4¢$4,369+$106$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No3,35297.6¢99.2¢$3,323+$51$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No3,39791.3¢94.5¢$3,210+$110$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No3,34089.8¢89.5¢$2,989−$11$0
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No2,58293.7¢95.6¢$2,469+$49$0
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?No2,53595.7¢95.3¢$2,414−$11$0
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No2,32686¢90¢$2,093+$93$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No2,12894¢93.5¢$1,989−$11$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No2,04597.8¢97.2¢$1,987−$13$0
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No1,35895.7¢97.5¢$1,324+$24$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No1,13688¢95.6¢$1,086+$86$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,11190¢90.5¢$1,006+$5.56+$7.11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,36963¢61.5¢$842−$21$0
Iran leadership change by October 31?No71797.6¢98.6¢$707+$6.99$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No84571¢69.5¢$587−$13$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No53893¢94¢$506+$5.62$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes40024¢18.5¢$74−$22$0
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No6,91979.5¢0¢$0−$5,500$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes14569¢0¢$0−$100−$1.55

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?97.4¢3,079$3,00095%43
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?96¢1,042$1,00095%43
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?96¢2,083$2,00095%43
BUY NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?96¢2,000$1,92095%43
BUY NoWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?96.5¢104$10095%43
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?97.9¢919$90095%43
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?97.9¢1,021$1,00095%43
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?98.4¢1,016$1,00095%43
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?98.9¢1,011$1,00095%43
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢1,136$1,00095%43
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?97.3¢411$40095%43
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?94¢2,000$1,88095%43
BUY NoModi out by December 31, 2026?95.8¢522$50095%43
BUY NoIran leadership change by October 31?97.8¢511$50095%43
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?94¢2,128$2,00095%43
BUY NoIran leadership change by December 31?89¢2,247$2,00095%43
BUY NoIran leadership change by October 31?97¢206$20095%43
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?94¢5,319$5,00095%43
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?94¢1,064$1,00095%43
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?71¢704$50095%43