PnL all-time+$127kvol $243M
PnL 30d$0gains $1,050 · losses $314
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate47.6%adj 47.7% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$3,865cash n/a
Positions4 / 916open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.6%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$136kbelow peak −$13.4kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 47.6% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? · Yesclosed+$86.4kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$15.8kWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesclosed+$7,544Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yesclosed+$6,389Will the New England Patriots finish with the best record in the NFL? · Yesclosed+$3,721
Worst markets
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$7,352Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$7,210Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? · Yesclosed−$3,270Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026? · Yesclosed−$3,253Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? · Yesclosed−$3,242
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3,865 | 50¢ | 51.5¢ | $1,989 | +$56 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,865 | 50¢ | 48.6¢ | $1,876 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 4,185 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$104 | +$1.48 | |
| Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | Yes | 100 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.40 | $0 |
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