PnL all-time−$2,257vol $40.2k
PnL 30d+$1.50gains $21 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1.50win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate63.6%adj 58.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,061cash n/a
Positions9 / 42open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,266below peak −$2,443Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable54
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d87
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yesclosed+$668US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed+$65Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? · Noclosed+$22Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$21Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Noclosed+$18
Worst markets
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? · Yesopen−$1,144Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? · Noopen−$335Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · Noclosed−$298US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noclosed−$215Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026? · Noopen−$200
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 1,725 | 62¢ | 61.5¢ | $1,061 | −$8.63 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5,000 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? | No | 3,684 | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$335 | $0 | |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026? | No | 236 | 84.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | Yes | 189 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | Yes | 113 | 70.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | −$1,064 | |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? | No | 113 | 88.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 21 | 46.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.90 | −$87 | |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | Yes | 21 | 42.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.00 | −$62 |
Recent trades
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