PnL all-time−$154vol $141k
PnL 30d−$1.84gains $0 · losses $4.37
PnL 7d−$1.84win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.9%adj 56.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$225cash n/a
Positions6 / 27open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.8%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$141below peak −$55Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 61.9% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? · Yesclosed+$2,210Will the match be a draw? · Yesclosed+$18Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed+$17Athletics vs. Red Sox · Athleticsclosed+$4.94Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election? · Yesclosed+$3.47
Worst markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? · Noclosed−$2,210Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed−$91Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yesclosed−$55Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yesopen−$17Will FTX payouts start in Q2 2024? · Yesclosed−$17
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 225 | 95.7¢ | 95.7¢ | $215 | −$0.11 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 4 | 80.3¢ | 100¢ | $3.74 | +$0.74 | −$0.02 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 3 | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | $3.43 | +$0.43 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 3 | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | $3.40 | +$0.40 | −$0.01 | |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Yes | 113 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 4 | 86.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.50 | −$0.01 |
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