PnL all-time+$5,007vol $1.36M
PnL 30d−$1,324gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$448win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate38.6%adj 41.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$24.9kcash n/a
Positions6 / 76open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.3%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$21.3kbelow peak −$3,640Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 38.6% · shrunk toward 50%3
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen+$19.0kIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? · Yesclosed+$3,820Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? · Yesclosed+$3,077Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen+$2,145Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? · Yesclosed+$880
Worst markets
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3? · Yesclosed−$1,199Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$1,161Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yesclosed−$1,040US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed−$743Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yesopen−$645
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 150k | 5.2¢ | 15.1¢ | $22.6k | +$14.8k | +$4,258 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 22.2k | 3.5¢ | 10.1¢ | $2,230 | +$1,444 | +$701 | |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5,452 | 1.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $19 | −$58 | $0 | |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4,823 | 1.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $17 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | 1,593 | 14.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$236 | −$409 | |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 1,490 | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$92 | −$2.60 |
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